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Money Tree Investing

China Tariffs Are Causing Big Problems In This Sector

Money Tree Investing

Money Tree Investing Podcast

Stockmarket, Valuestocks, Investing, Finance, Passiveincome, Wealth, Business, Personalfinance

4.6658 Ratings

🗓️ 21 May 2025

⏱️ 48 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

China tariffs are causing big problems right now. Today we talk about the recent developments in U.S.-China trade relations, particularly the temporary pause in tariffs and the broader implications for investor sentiment and economic narratives. The fear over supply chain disruptions quickly faded once tariff discussions resumed—even though actual inventory issues remained unresolved. We also analyzed a new Republican tax bill, highlighting key proposals like eliminating taxes on tips and overtime, allowing deductions for car loan interest, and introducing a “MEGA account” to support education, home buying, and small business loans.

We discuss... 

  • Trump temporarily paused tariffs on China for 90 days, reducing tensions and prompting speculation on political motives.
  • Despite ongoing inventory lags, public and media attention has waned following the tariff pause announcement.
  • People often react to headlines and political gestures without examining the actual impact or facts on the ground.
  • Wall Street quickly shifted from fear to optimism despite unresolved issues, illustrating emotional market swings.
  • Consumer sentiment has rapidly reversed from bearish to bullish, reflecting how quickly perception can change.
  • Buffett’s principle of being fearful when others are greedy remains relevant in today’s sentiment-driven market.
  • The proposed GOP tax bill includes a “No Tax on Tips” provision, widely supported as fair for service workers.
  • A new “MEGA Account” is proposed to help with education, small business loans, and first-time homebuyer costs.
  • The IRS uses audits not primarily to collect money but to scare people into compliance, as stated by an IRS official.
  • Low-income taxpayers are disproportionately audited due to earned income tax credit claims.
  • Wealthy individuals can afford legal support, making IRS audits less impactful for them compared to lower earners.
  • The U.S. housing market is now at its most unaffordable level in recorded history.
  • Mortgage rates are back to their historical average and unlikely to drop meaningfully.
  • The Fed's long-term involvement in mortgage-backed securities has distorted the housing market.
  • Interest rates remain high, and the Fed has yet to significantly cut, raising questions about the rationale for past rate cuts.

For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/china-tariffs-are-causing-big-problems-713 

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Money Tree Investing Podcast.

0:04.8

Stock market, wealth, personal finance, value stocks, invest in your life.

0:11.0

Hello, Smart Money Tree Podcast listeners.

0:12.7

Welcome to this week's show.

0:13.5

My name's Kirk Chisholm.

0:14.3

I'll be your host.

0:15.1

And today I'm joined with Doug Hagerin.

0:16.6

Hey, Doug.

0:17.4

How you doing, Kirk?

0:18.5

I'm back from China.

0:19.9

Wait, no, never mind. I'm Kirk? I'm back from China. Wait, no, never much.

0:21.1

I'm here, unlike certain things coming from China.

0:23.4

I know that was the title of the show, so I figured I addressed it, even though...

0:26.7

The China tariffs, yes.

0:28.3

Even though I don't know how much we're addressing it too much today.

0:31.1

There hasn't been a lot of new news on it.

0:32.8

It paid a lot of money for Doug, so hopefully he's worth it. That's right. The customs bill always comes about six

0:39.2

weeks later. It's on its way. Yeah, checks in the mail, Doug. Yeah, what's interesting is in the past week,

0:45.2

we had a few weeks ago, Trump put a pause on all tariffs, except for China. And then this past

0:51.7

week, he put a pause on the tariffs to China for the next 90 days.

0:56.3

He ramped it down quite a bit. It's still 30 percent compared to China's 10. I think it is.

1:01.1

But whatever it was, it's certainly not the 5,000 percent that he was charging China. So they came to the table and decided to break bread a little bit.

...

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