China risks loom over Nvidia print 8/27/25
TechCheck
CNBC
4.5 • 66 Ratings
🗓️ 26 August 2025
⏱️ 5 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | As we look ahead to invidia earnings tomorrow night, uncertainty around China still looming after |
| 0:06.9 | reports that it halted production of its made for China chip. |
| 0:10.0 | Our Christina Parts of Nevelos has more on what to expect and obviously one of the most |
| 0:14.1 | important prints of the quarter, KP. |
| 0:16.0 | Yeah, and so for Nvidia, the China story is really less about what just happened, what |
| 0:20.5 | you just talked about, and more about what comes next. |
| 0:23.1 | The company's latest quarter world almost certainly shows zero revenue from China after the H20 export ban, which is a stark contrast to the estimated $16 billion backlog that Oppenheimer says existed when the bet actually hit in April. |
| 0:38.3 | The stock though is trading near all-time highs, looking at trading at 181. The all-time high |
| 0:43.0 | was around 184, but it faces a critical test. Can management provide any visibility on China's |
| 0:49.4 | return? U.S. officials began granting limited licenses in August, but with a quarter ending on July 31st, |
| 0:56.4 | a lot of Wall Street analysts just don't expect any immediate revenue recognition for China. |
| 1:02.2 | Chinese authorities are also simultaneously pressuring domestic firms to buy local alternatives, |
| 1:07.4 | like Huawei chips, just as NVIDIA is really trying to restart supply. |
| 1:11.6 | And then there's recent reports suggesting NVIDIA's already slowing H20 production due to this pushback, |
| 1:16.6 | though the company only said it, quote, constantly manages supply chains to address market conditions. |
| 1:21.6 | So somewhat of a vague answer that didn't really deny it. |
| 1:24.6 | The wildcard, though, is in video's new B-30 chip |
| 1:28.2 | design for China, with speculation that President Trump's administration could approve |
| 1:32.7 | exports in the near term. That could mean today's muted H20 revenues, specifically for China, |
| 1:38.3 | get replaced by much larger B-30 sales down the line. With CEO Jensen Wong calling China a $50 billion market opportunity, |
| 1:46.7 | even capturing low single-digit share would be material to the stock. But until management |
| 1:52.3 | really offers any concrete guidance specifically around China, this overhang will likely cap the |
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