Chatter: Intelligence Analysis, Intuition, and Precognition, with Carmen Medina
The Lawfare Podcast
The Lawfare Institute
4.7 • 6.4K Ratings
🗓️ 24 December 2024
⏱️ 112 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Carmen Medina defies simple description. She spent more than 30 years at the CIA, rising to the leadership team of the Directorate of Intelligence, despite her iconoclasticism and vociferous evangelism of new technologies. Since retiring more than a decade ago, she has co-written a book about rebelling within bureaucracy--and advocated the exploration of precognition for intelligence purposes.
She joined David Priess for a wide and deep conversation about her analytic and managerial career, the process and pitfalls of analytic coordination, cooperation between US and UK intelligence, the CIA's incorporation of publish-when-ready technology in the late 1990s, the downside of extensive editorial review of analytic products, the importance of including more intuition in intelligence analysis, why precognition should be taken seriously, and more.
Works mentioned in this episode:
The book Rebels At Work by Lois Kelly and Carmen Medina
The book Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman
The article by Carmen Medina, "The Potential of Integrating Intelligence and Intuition," Cipher Brief, June 10, 2022.
The book American Cosmic by D. W. Pasulka
The book Orbiting the Giant Hairball by Gordon MacKenzie
The book How To Be a Renaissance Woman by Jill Burke
The book 1177 B.C.: The Year Civilization Collapsed by Eric Cline
The book The Infidel and the Professor by Dennis Rasmussen
The book The Ministry of Time by Kaliane Bradley
The book The Chronoliths by Robert Charles Wilson
Chatter is a production of Lawfare and Goat Rodeo. This episode was produced and edited by Cara Shillenn of Goat Rodeo. Podcast theme by David Priess, featuring music created using Groovepad.
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Transcript
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| 0:18.2 | Also, check out Lawfare's other podcast offerings, Rational Security, Chatter, Lawfare No Bull, |
| 0:26.9 | and The Aftermath. |
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| 0:50.8 | podcasts, newsletters, films and more. So head over to Economist.com slash holiday gifting offer |
| 0:57.8 | to take advantage of this gifting offer, ending soon. If you're looking for the perfect gift that's |
| 1:04.4 | thoughtful and unique this holiday season, give the gift of insight with The Economist. |
| 1:10.2 | For a limited time, you can give a subscription when you buy one for yourself, |
| 1:14.3 | perfect for those who think big, just like you. |
| 1:17.6 | Stay ahead, together with global reporting and analysis, |
| 1:21.0 | podcasts, newsletters, films and more. |
| 1:24.5 | So head over to Economist.com slash holiday gifting offer to take advantage of this |
| 1:29.6 | gifting offer ending soon. |
| 1:37.3 | Welcome to Chatter. I'm David Priest. This week, former senior intelligence officer and author |
| 1:43.5 | Carmen Medina on intelligence analysis, intuition, and precognition. |
| 1:50.4 | If Hans Solo, when he says I have a bad feeling about this, is correct, eight times out of ten, you want to pay attention to that. |
| 2:00.1 | And we treat all these hard-to-quantify mental thinking, cognition qualities. |
... |
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