Challenging CBO Rosy/Dire Projections
Cato Podcast
Cato Institute
4.5 • 979 Ratings
🗓️ 14 July 2016
⏱️ 7 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Cator Daily Podcast for Thursday, July 14th, 2016. |
| 0:07.0 | I'm Caleb Brown. |
| 0:08.0 | The Congressional Budget Office indicates that so-called tax extenders will drive higher federal deficits in debt in the decades to come. |
| 0:15.3 | Dan Mitchell, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, argues that CBO's projections about what |
| 0:19.3 | future Congresses will do with future revenues shouldn't be made with a straight face. |
| 0:24.0 | CBO released its new long-run budget outlook and of course the big takeaway is that the debt situations even worse than it was the last |
| 0:36.0 | time they did one of these reports. |
| 0:38.4 | Of course the takeaway from some of the journalists that oh it's the fault of tax breaks. |
| 0:44.0 | But in reality, if you look at the numbers, |
| 0:45.9 | what it very clearly shows, and what CBO even admits |
| 0:49.7 | is that our long-run problem exists solely 100% because government is growing faster |
| 0:57.7 | than the private economy. Is CBO encouraged to make that clear? One would think that with Republicans in control of both houses of Congress that they would |
| 1:08.0 | want the CBO to make it clear that spending is the problem. |
| 1:11.0 | The CBO document is mostly dry and technical. |
| 1:17.6 | It's 118 pages filled with charts and numbers. |
| 1:21.3 | To the extent there's economic analysis, I actually think it leans to the left |
| 1:26.0 | because CBO has historically always believed in Keynesian economics in the short run and in the long run they think that what drives the |
| 1:34.1 | economy is deficits so if you have a higher deficit that's bad for the economy |
| 1:40.2 | because you're crowding out private investment. |
| 1:42.6 | I'm sure a little bit of that happens so I don't fully object to that analysis. |
| 1:46.3 | But CBO takes it to such a crazy extreme that if you raise taxes, they will say with a straight face that in the long run that's very good for |
| 1:56.6 | growth because in theory politicians will collect all the revenue they estimate, they |
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