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Wall Street Breakfast

Catalyst Watch: Hershey lead, cocoa worries ahead of holidays

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 28 October 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Catalyst watch for the week of October 29. Seeking Alpha Senior Executive Editor Kim Khan on the 2-day FOMC meeting. (00:21) Julie gives a brief earnings preview of McDonald’s (MCD), Starbucks (SBUX), and Eli Lilly (LLY). (03:35) They also discuss Hershey (HSY), the consumer report about lead levels in its products, the impact of the price of cocoa, whether the company should be concerned about weight loss drugs and the upcoming holiday season. (04:53) Hot topic: Kim’s Wall Street Halloween costume ideas. (07:13)

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
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Show links:
Catalyst Watch: Apple earnings, Fed policy meeting, jobs report
Eli Lilly: The GLP-1 Opportunity, While Increasingly Recognized, Is Vastly Underestimated
McDonald’s Q3 earnings on deck, what to expect
Brewing Up Profits: Starbucks' Q4 Earnings Preview

Transcript

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0:00.0

Thanks for

0:03.0

joining us today. I'm Julie Morgan host of Wall Street Breakfast,

0:05.0

Seeking Alpha's Daily flagship podcast.

0:08.0

This is our weekly show all about the catalyst for the upcoming week.

0:12.0

I'm joined by Kim Khan.

0:14.0

He's the senior executive editor at Seeking Alpha

0:17.6

and the host of our new afternoon show,

0:20.3

Wall Street Lunch.

0:21.5

Kim, next week, the obvious is the FOMC meeting, right?

0:25.5

Yeah, it's the big one, even though it's a kind of foregone conclusion as far as the markets are concerned.

0:31.1

There's something of a 99% chance that they're going to keep rates steady.

0:36.0

It's still a big deal on the press conference and what they said thinking is, what they're considering, given the economic landscape.

0:44.4

And as we record this today on Thursday, we just got a bunch of more data on how the economy is doing.

0:50.8

And we saw this surge in Q3 GDP annualized rate of 4.9%. You know, that's more than double what

0:58.8

Q2 was at 2.1%. It was well ahead of very strong expectations of around 4.2%.

1:05.0

So suddenly he's got this economy humming along.

1:08.0

Also you've got inflation pressures kind of easing off, which was also seen in the GDP numbers with the core PCE down to 2.4%, which was also below forecasts. So just a bit, the consensus was 2.5%. So there's a lot of talk about a kind of soft landing scenario really being

1:26.6

within grasp, the kind of Goldilocks numbers coming out. It's going to be interesting to see what

1:30.9

Powell has to say. Okay, so you led right into my next question.

1:35.0

Which direction do you think they'll go,

1:37.0

especially based on the numbers that we just got today?

1:39.9

Well, I mean, I think that they'd be very happy with the numbers as in it. There's a lot of ways you could kind of interpret the data to say it wasn't as strong as it looked and so there's some pockets of weakness on but overall you have a strong consumer spend coming in and if the consumer holds up that bodes well for soft landing.

...

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