Catalyst Watch: Decoding r-star
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 19 August 2023
⏱️ 9 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
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Show links:
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Jackson Hole 2023 Preview: Expect High Rates For Longer
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Thanks for |
| 0:01.4 | joining us today. I'm Julie Morgan host of Wall Street Breakfast, |
| 0:05.0 | Seeking Alpha's Daily Flagship Podcast. |
| 0:08.0 | This is our weekly show all about the catalyst for the upcoming week. |
| 0:12.0 | I'm joined by Kim Kahn. |
| 0:14.0 | He's the senior executive editor at Seeking Alpha |
| 0:17.6 | and the host of our new afternoon show, Wall Street Lunch. |
| 0:21.8 | Kim, next week a big event, Jackson Hole. |
| 0:24.0 | Yep, a quiet economic calendar, but a big meeting of all major monetary players at the Jackson Hole |
| 0:31.8 | symposium that's's gonna start on Thursday |
| 0:34.4 | It's gonna be a lot of the Fed officials talking including Powell and a lot of the media trying to get a sense of what they're thinking. |
| 0:43.3 | Obviously, there's never anything or shattering that comes kind of off script, |
| 0:48.1 | but sometimes there are surprises on script in the speeches, so we'll look for that. |
| 0:52.4 | And then you've got your kind of like buzzwords |
| 0:54.4 | it's like going into like the Oscars only a lot more nerdy right now we're seeing a lot of talk |
| 0:59.2 | about real interest rates that's the interest rates taking into account inflation. The 10-year real yield has just hit yesterday, its highest level since 2009. It's bumping up against 1.9% that's got big implications for mortgages that's got big |
| 1:17.6 | implications for the stock market. The market usually finds it tough going when real yields are higher to make any substantial progress. |
| 1:26.7 | So there'll be a lot of talk about that. |
| 1:28.4 | Okay, what is our star? |
| 1:30.6 | Yeah, our star is another kind of buzzword that is creeping up and Art Star essentially is this |
| 1:37.8 | neutral rate of interest or they call it the real natural rate of interest as well and it's basically a hypothetical |
| 1:45.6 | interest rate level of where everything's going great. You're getting full |
... |
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