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Wall Street Breakfast

Catalyst Watch: CPI outlook, Vegas strike averted

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 11 November 2023

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Catalyst watch for the week of November 12. Seeking Alpha Senior Executive Editor Kim Khan on what to expect when CPI is released on Tuesday. (00:21) Julie shares the latest analysis on three retailers set to report earnings including Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT). (02:20) They also discuss the strike that was averted in Las Vegas ahead of major events. (03:43)

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
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Show links:
Catalyst Watch: Walmart earnings, DraftKings event, REITworld, OPEC update and another CPI nail-biter
Is Home Depot A Wise Investment Choice Amid Inflation Surge
Target: A Value Trap, The Sell-Off Should Accelerate
Walmart: Strategy, Stability And Innovation In A Single Package

Transcript

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0:00.0

Thanks for

0:03.0

joining us today. I'm Julie Morgan host of Wall Street Breakfast,

0:05.0

Seeking Alpha's Daily Flagship Podcast.

0:08.0

This is our weekly show all about the catalyst for the upcoming week.

0:12.0

I'm joined by Kim Khan.

0:14.0

He's the senior executive editor at Seeking Alpha

0:17.6

and the host of our new afternoon show,

0:20.3

Wall Street Lunch.

0:21.6

So Kim, next week we have

0:23.0

CPI. Yeah, big inflation report as always, although there's going to be a

0:27.5

debate about what it means the markets and the Fed now that we're at this

0:32.0

terminal rate scenario that everybody seems to think that the Fed is done with its tightening cycle.

0:36.3

For the numbers the October CPI is expected to be up 0.1% on the month falling to a headline rate of 3.3% year over year and the core rate which excludes the food and energy

0:48.9

which is one we're closely looked at a little hotter up 0.3% with its year of year staying at 4.1%.

0:56.0

I think that it would take pretty substantial beat on the core, an upside surprise,

1:01.3

to shake the market's confidence and get things into a will they actually hike one last time in December debate but for now it should be kind of steady as she goes.

1:11.2

What the markets are going to be looking more at

1:13.4

is the kind of rate cut future

1:15.5

rather than the Fed's next meeting.

1:17.4

And we've seen a lot of action in that

1:19.2

in the swaps market and the Fed funds futures

1:22.1

about gaming when the Fed will first start to cut rates and to ease monetary conditions.

...

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