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On The Tape

Cash Is King: Dan Niles’ 2025 Investing Playbook

On The Tape

RiskReversal Media

News, Business, Investing, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 15 January 2025

⏱️ 38 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Dan Nathan and Dan Niles, founder and portfolio manager at Niles Investment Management, engage in an in-depth discussion about the current state of the tech market, broader economic trends and his top picks for 2025. The conversation touches on the volatility in tech stocks, the implications of inflation, and the Fed's influence on market conditions. Dan Niles shares insights on his cautious outlook for 2025, citing inflation worries and potential AI digestion phases. They also discuss the performances and forecasts of major tech companies, including Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon, and examine how macroeconomic factors like the U.S. dollar and interest rates are affecting these giants. Niles emphasizes the importance of being adaptable in this uncertain market landscape, with a focus on cash and well-rounded stock picks Subscribe to our newsletter: https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe — About the Show: On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money’s Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They’re offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we’re here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market. — Check out our show notes here See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape. — Shoot us an email at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod on Twitter or @riskreversalmedia on Threads — We’re on social: Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow Liz Thomas @LizThomasStrat on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Transcript

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0:00.0

To be invested with Betterment is to believe in better.

0:02.9

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0:07.3

businesses put their money to work.

0:09.1

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0:11.2

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0:13.4

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0:18.2

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0:19.8

So be invested in yourself. Be invested in your business, be invested in better with betterment.

0:24.6

Get started at betterment.com.

0:28.4

Welcome to OK Computer.

0:29.8

I'm Dan Nathan, joined by Dan Niles.

0:31.6

He's the founder and portfolio manager at Niles Investment Management.

0:36.1

Dan, welcome back to the pod.

0:37.6

I have pleasure, Dan. All right. You and I back to the pod. I have pleasure, Dan.

0:38.7

All right. You and I had a great pod. I think it was about a year ago. We were thinking about

0:43.7

Q4 guidance. We were thinking about the macro. We were thinking about kind of what you expected.

0:49.0

And the largest secular shift that we have seen in technology in 25 years or so, you had a lot of great calls.

0:56.3

The way you laid out the year kind of played out. We had some downward volatility in the

1:01.9

big Gen AI trade in the summer, but it got back on its horse. We saw semi outperformance kind of

1:07.8

wane a little bit as we got into the back half of the year. Software

1:11.6

joined the party late in the year, but it's given a lot of it back. So we want to touch on a little

1:17.1

bit of that. I want to obviously get your take on valuations. We got some stuff to do here.

...

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