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Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Carl Kawaja - Dealing with Regime Change - [Invest Like the Best, EP.314]

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Colossus

Technology, Business, Investing

4.72.5K Ratings

🗓️ 31 January 2023

⏱️ 72 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

My guest this week is Carl Kawaja. It’s the second time I’ve had Carl on the show and my first conversation with him is one I go back to often. Carl is a portfolio manager at Capital Group, where he’s quietly overseen a huge portfolio for decades. He is one of the top investors operating today as well as one of my favorite people. The investing world has changed quite a bit since Carl and I first spoke in mid-2021 so this was a great chance to use Carl’s curious mind and wide range of experiences to discuss the regime change taking place across capital markets. In true Kawaja fashion, we go all over the map and discuss Apple, the Amazonian rainforest, baseball, the oil & gas industry, Muhammad Ali, and more. Please enjoy my great discussion with Carl Kawaja.   For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here.   -----   This episode is brought to you by Tegus, the modern research platform for leading investors. I’m a longtime user and advocate of Tegus, a company that I’ve been so consistently impressed with that last fall my firm, Positive Sum, invested $20M to support Tegus’ mission to expand its product ecosystem. Whether it's quantitative analysis, company disclosures, management presentations, earnings calls - Tegus has tools for every step of your investment research. They even have over 4000 fully driveable financial models. Tegus’ maniacal focus on quality, as well as its depth, breadth and recency of content makes it the one-stop, end-to-end research platform for investors. Move faster, gather deep research to build conviction and surface high-quality, alpha-driving insights to find your differentiated edge with Tegus. As a listener, you can take the Tegus platform for a free test drive by visiting tegus.co/patrick.   -----   Invest Like the Best is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Invest Like the Best, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.    Past guests include Tobi Lutke, Kevin Systrom, Mike Krieger, John Collison, Kat Cole, Marc Andreessen, Matthew Ball, Bill Gurley, Anu Hariharan, Ben Thompson, and many more.   Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here.   Follow us on Twitter: @patrick_oshag | @JoinColossus   Show Notes [00:02:44] - [First question] - What the market feels like to him today [00:06:00] - The pros and cons of the cost of capital and experimentation [00:09:09] - Things we can learn from Oil & Gas stocks and resource commodities in general [00:14:38] - Pulling apart the key lessons from Berkshire’s purchases of IBM and Apple [00:20:37] - The practical implications of wanting to land more soft-wins in investing that aren’t apparent out of the gate [00:25:52] - How he approaches and considers products and product cycles writ large [00:31:10] - The Systems Bible [00:33:15] - Thoughts about making money from value based strategies  [00:38:31] - His methodology to go about finding the next diamond in the rough  [00:42:48] - A New Innings [00:45:13] - The Arc of Boxing; Lessons from Muhammad Ali fighting Cleveland Williams [00:48:54] - Someone he thinks is an exemplar in both business and the world [00:54:37] - Don’t Sleep There Are Snakes [00:59:41] - The role fossil fuels play in the energy transition and the current regime change  [01:07:35] - What we can learn from uncontroversial transitions in the past

Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode is brought to you by TIGAS, the modern research platform for leading investors.

0:05.0

I'm a long time user and advocate of TIGAS, a company that I've been so consistently impressed with that last fall my firm, positive sum, invested $20 million to support TIGAS's mission to expand its product ecosystem to unify and streamline investor research processes.

0:19.0

In addition to the library of 55,000 transcripts, TIGAS now combines at-cost on-demand calls with a full suite of financial workflows.

0:28.0

Whether it's quantitative analysis, company disclosures, management presentations, earnings calls, TIGAS has tools for every step of your investment research.

0:36.0

They even have over 4,000 fully-driveable financial models.

0:40.0

TIGAS's maniacal focus on quality, as well as its depth, breadth, and recency of content makes it the one-stop end-to-end research platform for investors.

0:49.0

Move faster, gather deep research to build conviction and surface high-quality alpha-driving insights to find your differentiated edge with TIGAS.

0:56.0

As a listener, you can take the TIGAS platform for a free test drive by visiting tegas.co-slash-patrick.

1:03.0

Hello and welcome everyone, I'm Patrick O'Shaunasey and this is Invest Like The Best.

1:10.0

This show is an open-ended exploration of markets, ideas, stories, and strategies that will help you better invest both your time and your money.

1:18.0

Invest Like The Best is part of the Colossus family of podcasts, and you can access all our podcasts, including edited transcripts, show notes, and other resources to keep learning at JoinColossus.com.

1:30.0

Patrick O'Shaunasey is the CEO and founding partner of Positive Sum and the CEO of O'Shaunasey Asset Management.

1:37.0

All opinions expressed by Patrick and podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of Positive Sum or O'Shaunasey Asset Management.

1:46.0

This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions.

1:53.0

Clients of Positive Sum or O'Shaunasey Asset Management may maintain positions and the securities discussed in this podcast.

2:00.0

My guess this week is Carl Kojaja. It's the second time I've had Carl on the show and my first conversation with him is when I go back to often.

2:09.0

Carl's a portfolio manager at Capital Group, where he's quietly overseeing a huge portfolio for decades.

2:15.0

He's one of the top investors operating today as well as one of my favorite people.

2:19.0

The investing world has changed quite a bit since Carl and I first spoke in mid-2021, so this was a great chance to use Carl's curious mind and wide range of experiences to discuss the regime change taking place across capital markets.

2:32.0

In true Kojaja fashion, we go all over the map, discuss Apple, the Amazonian rainforest, baseball, the oil and gas industry, Muhammad Ali and more.

2:40.0

Please enjoy my great discussion with Carl Kojaja.

2:43.0

The Carl has been kind of a shockingly long time since we first did this time really goes fast as you get older, which is terrifying to me.

...

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