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RickRunGood | Golf Data and Betting Insights

Can You Solve One & Done? I Tried to Code It…

RickRunGood | Golf Data and Betting Insights

Rick Gehman

Sports, Golf, Business, Fantasy Sports, Entrepreneurship

4.9701 Ratings

🗓️ 30 December 2025

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

🐳 One and Done: https://bit.ly/SplashOneandDone ⛳ Data & Tools: https://RickRunGood.com 📰 Newsletter: https://bit.ly/3Uner2c 👂 Audio: http://bit.ly/3ZXSDLF One & Done is an unsolvable problem… and that’s why I love it. This year, I tried something new: building a data-driven One & Done entry using Excel, simulations, and a (very messy) Python script. No, I’m not a coder — but the results were fascinating. In this video: • The problem with week-to-week recency bias • Why long-ter...

Transcript

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0:00.0

I love one and done. I love it. I think you guys love it too. I think there's a reason that

0:04.6

our number of entries that we've had in our one and done over the years looks like this graph,

0:09.5

which if you're not watching on YouTube, it's basically 28xed over the course of the last couple of

0:15.2

years to 5,500 people in our one and done this year. And the thing that I love so much about it

0:19.5

is that it's this unsolvable problem, right? You're never going to pick the perfect most optimal thing. It's very

0:27.4

much like the March Madness bracket, right? No one's going to ever sniff getting a perfect

0:32.3

bracket. No one is ever going to sniff getting a perfect one and done year where you pick the winner or the best

0:39.3

possible outcome every single time. But that's what we strive for, right? And I love tinkering

0:44.4

around. I love that there's a lot of different tools. And I wanted to sit down and do something

0:48.4

that I like to do every year, but I want to inject a little bit of, I'm going to say programming or like coding,

0:58.1

saying that very lightly,

0:59.7

because I can't really do either one of those things,

1:02.2

but I wanted to try this out.

1:03.8

So if you've been watching this channel for a while,

1:07.2

you know that I generally like to have two one and done entries. I like to set one

1:12.3

before the season starts, and there's flaws with that, but before the season starts, when I'm

1:18.1

not going through the weekly ebbs and flows of what's going on in my brain and all this other

1:22.5

stuff, and just like on paper, what is the most optimal route uh now of course it's impossible to know

1:28.9

where every golfer is going to play uh every single week so we don't even know where everybody's

1:33.8

going to tee it up but we have a decent idea and i'll usually have to make a couple tweaks throughout

1:38.8

the year but there are a lot of times that that one and done entry will do better than the one

1:43.4

that i pick every single week because

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