Can we trust polling in battleground states?

Post Reports

The Washington Post

Daily News, Politics, News

4.4 • 5.1K Ratings

🗓️ 28 October 2020

⏱️ 30 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

A snapshot of what’s happening in key battleground states. What we can and can’t learn from polling. And a complicated end to the World Series.

Reporters Jenna Johnson and Amy Gardner have been closely watching the presidential race play out in key states. In some of these states, such as Georgia and Texas, the polls are much closer than expected.

The Post’s polling director, Scott Clement, talks about Biden's narrow lead in Michigan, and what we can and can't learn from polling.

The Los Angeles Dodgers won the World Series for the first time in more than three decades — but there was a dark cloud over celebrations after a player tested positive for the novel coronavirus but joined his teammates anyway.

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Transcript

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0:00.0	From the newsroom of the Washington Post.
0:05.0	It's Robert Samuels from the Washington Post.
0:08.0	Post is Sarah Kaplan.
0:10.0	Hi, this is Elaheiz Adi with the Washington Post.
0:13.0	They.
0:14.0	This is Post Reports.
0:15.0	I'm Martin Powers.
0:18.0	It's Wednesday, October 28th.
0:23.0	Today, a snapshot of the electoral map.
0:26.0	What we can and cannot learn from polling and a complicated end to the world series.
0:33.0	With just a week left until the election, there is a lot of attention on the states that could make a difference on election night.
0:42.0	There are the states that we knew would be battlegrounds, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan.
0:47.0	And then there are states that we didn't think could be in play, places like Texas.
0:53.0	I'm trying to like paint a beautiful picture of Texas for you here.
0:57.0	Are you from Texas?
0:58.0	I'm not Texas.
0:59.0	The most beautiful magical state in America.
1:03.0	Exactly.
1:07.0	Jenna Johnson is a political reporter and she's been looking at early voting in Texas, which has honestly been pretty astonishing.
1:15.0	As of Wednesday morning, more than 8.1 million voters there have cast ballots.
1:20.0	That's nearly 91% of the state's overall vote in 2016.
1:25.0	Texas is hugely important to Republicans.
	...

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