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The Inquiry

Can Nigeria’s next president fix its problems?

The Inquiry

BBC

News Commentary, News

4.61.7K Ratings

🗓️ 9 February 2023

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On 25 February, Nigerians go to the ballot box to vote for their next president. For the first time in a long time, the Incumbent president will not be contesting the elections – having already served the maximum allowed two terms.

Since 2016, the country has spiralled down as inflation has hit over 20% and unemployment rides at around 30% overall, and 60% for the young. Banditry and kidnappings have become lucrative methods of making a living in the country and a pervading sense that this could be now or never for Nigerians hangs ominously.

Three candidates have emerged as the front runners for the elections. The stalwarts Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressive Congress, or APC, and Atiku Abubakar, of the People’s Democratic Party, or DPD, are familiar faces from familiar parties. Power has been shared between the two parties since 1999.

Peter Obi is the outsider who has taken a dramatic lead over recent weeks in the polls. He represents the Labour Party who have never held power and is offering to run the country in a different manner to what the country has been used to thus far.

Foreshadowing the entire event is the expectation that Nigeria is expected to reach a population of around 400 million by 2050, making it the fourth largest country in terms of population by this date. That is an increase of around 60-80% of the current population estimates. Ensuring the infrastructure is in place for such a boom in population will be pivotal to Nigeria’s ability to both maximise the potential for its citizens whilst gaining the most from them.

Presenter: Charmaine Cozier Producer: Christopher Blake Researcher: John Cossee Editor: Tara McDermott

(Photo: Supporter of Nigerian opposition the Labour Party waves a green and white flag in a street procession in Ikeja district, Lagos, Nigeria. Credit: Kintunde Akinley/EPA-EFE/Rex/Shutterstock)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Love, Genessa, a brand new true crime podcast from the BBC World Service and CBC podcasts.

0:07.0

It's a story about love, deceit and survival, and it's available now.

0:12.0

Find out more at the end of this podcast.

0:17.0

Welcome to The Inquiry. I'm Charm Encosia.

0:20.0

Each week four expert witnesses, one question and an answer.

0:24.0

February 2023, election time in Nigeria.

0:29.0

The actual result is weeks away, but one thing is already certain.

0:33.0

There will be a new president.

0:36.0

That's because the current one, President Mohamedu Buhari, has reached the maximum limit of two four-year terms.

0:44.0

Nigerians will vote during the longest period of uninterrupted democracy in their country's history,

0:50.0

but it's also a time of rampant insecurity and economic hardship, so many tough challenges.

0:59.0

This week we're asking, can Nigeria's next president fix its problems?

1:05.0

Part one. The Old Guard.

1:12.0

I would assess Buhari's time in power as it wasted opportunity.

1:16.0

Ayesha Osori is a director with the Executive Vice President's Office of Open Society Foundations.

1:24.0

In 1983, following a coup, Mohamedu Buhari became the military head of state in Nigeria.

1:31.0

He was overthrown in 1985.

1:34.0

In 1999, the military handed over power to an elected civilian government.

1:40.0

Years later, he re-emerged as an opposition party presidential candidate in a democratic general election,

1:47.0

and won 54% of the vote.

1:50.0

He came in with incredible goodwill in 2015.

1:54.0

That victory over good luck, Jonathan, made him the first opposition leader to defeat an incumbent president in Nigeria.

...

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