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The Indicator from Planet Money

Can empty-nesters boost housing affordability?

The Indicator from Planet Money

NPR

Business

4.79.5K Ratings

🗓️ 19 December 2024

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The "silver tsunami" of aging Americans is often seen as a potential way to alleviate the country's housing affordability woes. However, the data suggests that an influx of empty-nester homes coming on the market won't have much of an impact on the problem—because of a geographical mismatch.

Today on the show, we speak to an economist who's looked into the silver tsunami's impact on the housing market and thinks this theory might be more of a red herring.

This episode was fact checked by Sierra Juarez

Related episodes:
The graying of America
What would it take to fix retirement?
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The highs and lows of US rents

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Transcript

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0:00.0

NPR.

0:02.2

This is the indicator from Planet Money.

0:13.5

I'm Daryam Woods.

0:14.6

And I'm Waylon Wong.

0:15.8

So there is this term that's been floating around for a couple of decades now, the silver tsunami. Yes, we've talked

0:22.4

about this on our show, and it refers to the aging population in the U.S., especially members of the

0:27.9

baby boomer generation. And you know, some people find the term a bit derogatory because it's

0:32.9

likening old people to a natural disaster. That's not what we meant. It's pretty rude. I guess so,

0:38.2

now that you mention it. Nevertheless, the term has become a popular shorthand for all the big

0:44.0

cultural and economic changes that stem from this generation getting older. And when it comes to

0:48.6

housing, the so-called silver tsunami has sometimes been seen as a silver bullet to address a major issue,

0:56.1

housing affordability. There's a theory that a wave of empty nesters putting their homes on the

1:01.8

market will boost supply and bring home prices down. Today on the show, we talked to one

1:07.3

economist who's vetted this hypothesis, and he tells us why the silver tsunami

1:11.7

solution to housing affordability might be more of a red herring. That's coming up after the break.

1:22.1

This message comes from Wise, the app for doing things in other currencies. Send, spend, or receive money

1:28.3

internationally and always get the real-time mid-market exchange rate with no hidden fees. Download

1:33.6

the Wise app today or visit wise.com, T's and Cs Apply. I don't know what your weekend plans are,

1:41.4

Daryan, but I do know where you are likely to find

1:44.5

Orfe DiVangi. He's a senior economist at Zillow. I personally look at the housing market all the time.

1:50.0

I love housing. That's why I work at Zillow. And so I'm the kind of guy that takes my kids to look at

1:56.8

housing on the weekends. Look, each to their own, I will not be there.

...

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