Can Betting Markets Predict the U.S. Presidential Election?
WSJ What’s News
The Wall Street Journal
4.1 • 4.2K Ratings
🗓️ 1 November 2024
⏱️ 12 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Courage. I learned it from my adoptive mom. |
| 0:03.0 | Hold my hand? |
| 0:03.7 | You hold my hand! |
| 0:06.0 | Learn about adopting a team from foster care at adoptuSkids.org. |
| 0:10.1 | You can't imagine the reward. |
| 0:11.5 | Brought to you by AdopTU.S. Kids, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, and the Ad Council. |
| 0:18.8 | U.S. job growth took a hit last month. |
| 0:21.5 | The Labor Department's report comes just days before the presidential election and the Fed's interest rate meaning. |
| 0:27.3 | Even coming into the report, the expectation was that the Fed is going to cut rates by a quarter point. |
| 0:35.0 | That's still the expectation. |
| 0:36.8 | And are betting markets more accurate than polls when predicting who will win the presidential election? |
| 0:42.3 | Plus, Iran signals it might strike back at Israel, raising the risk of a wider Mideast war. |
| 0:48.3 | It's Friday, November 1st. I'm Tracy Hunt for the Wall Street Journal. |
| 0:52.3 | This is the PM edition of What's News, the top |
| 0:56.1 | headlines and business stories that move the world today. |
| 1:03.7 | U.S. job growth slowed sharply last month, with the Labor Department today reporting that |
| 1:09.0 | the economy added a seasonally adjusted 12,000 |
| 1:12.0 | jobs in October versus a September gain of 223,000. That wildly misses even the muted |
| 1:19.0 | expectations of economists who had forecast 100,000 jobs. Still, the unemployment rate stayed |
| 1:25.7 | steady at a historically low 4.1%. |
| 1:28.9 | Hurricane Helene and Milton put thousands of people out of work across the southeast, |
| 1:34.6 | while the Boeing strike took more people off the job. |
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