Well, hello from Washington and happy new year I'm Chuck Todd and this is the first

episode of 2024 of the well and I could see President Trump making history is the first non-incumbent Republican to win both states back to back

What would that mean if he pulls this off? I'm gonna get to that in. On Thursday, Trump released a new TV ad attacking

Mickey Haley, suggesting he now does see her as a threat.

And I guess that is a question. The second place matter in any of these races.

Polling to show in Iowa Republicans want to keep Trump as their leader. second place matter in any of these races polling has shown Iowa

Republicans want to keep Trump as their leader but um Iowa has surprised us

before you know when I think about all things Iowa in going back to the 30 years that I've done this or even longer before that since I've been following this that we've had

30 point victories that have turned into defeats.

Walter Mondale won by 30 points,

but the second-place candidate was Gary Hart.

The media created a Gary Hart boom load,

and Mondale almost lost the nomination.

We've seen candidates with great organizations collapse,

and we've seen candidates with no organization like Rick Santorum

win at the last minute.

So it's certainly there and Iowa can and we also have a

turnout situation where Iowa could easily what happens a low turnout well that should help potentially Ron

DeSantis or Nicki Haley or anybody not named Trump but a high turnout well I think

I turn out would definitely benefit Trump and what about the perception that Trump can't lose?

Does that actually keep voters from showing up?

Because as you know, the Caucasus, even on the Republican side,

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