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Science Quickly

Can AI Predict When You Die?

Science Quickly

Scientific American

Science

4.4 β€’ 1.4K Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 23 January 2024

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

A new study used machine learning on 6 million Danish people to "autocomplete" their life trajectories –— and when they might kick the bucket. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Prediction is powerful.

0:01.6

For as long as people have been thinking about the future,

0:04.0

we've also been trying to predict it.

0:06.5

And in some areas, we've gotten pretty good.

0:08.8

Think like meteorology and climate modeling.

0:12.0

But scientifically speaking, we're still pretty far from the stuff of crystal balls and oracles.

0:17.0

There's lots of things people have no reliable way to forecast,

0:21.0

despite what your horoscope may suggest?

0:23.6

Absolutely, but what if artificial intelligence could get us closer to that fantasy

0:29.8

supernatural realm of divination than ever before.

0:33.2

What if, for instance, an AI model could accurately forecast a person's death?

0:38.7

Wait, what?

0:39.6

Yeah, it, uh, it sounds really scary, right?

0:43.1

Uh, yeah.

0:44.1

And it might be, but probably not for the reasons you expect.

0:48.1

I'm Lauren Leffer, Tech Reporting Fellow at Scientific American.

0:51.3

And I'm Tillyke Bowes, Senior Multimedia Editor. And I'm Tylika Bose, senior multimedia editor.

0:54.0

And you're listening to Scientific American Science Quickly Podcast.

0:57.0

So, Tylka, death. We're all going to do it one day, but if you could know when you were going to die, would you want to?

1:09.5

No, no, no, I wouldn't even let me finish the question. No, no, I don't want to know.

1:14.4

Yeah, me either. It seems like a super obvious case of TMI. Yeah, for sure.

1:19.6

But the inherently unsettling nature of an AI calculator that spits out death predictions

...

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