Campuses, Courtrooms and Swing States: Six Months to the Presidential Election

WSJ Opinion: Free Expression

Gerard Baker, Editor at Large, The Wall Street Journal

Society & Culture, News

4.6 • 591 Ratings

🗓️ 1 May 2024

⏱️ 35 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With the explosion of protests on university campuses and as Donald Trump sits in a courtroom facing felony charges, the 2024 presidential race is at a new level of volatility. Polls show Joe BIden trailing Trump in the key swing states, leaving the current President with only the slimmest of margins as a path to reelection. Six months out, what might change? On this episode of the Free Expression podcast, Publisher and Editor-in-Chief of the Cook Political Report Amy Walter and Gerry Baker discuss which states may decide the future of the presidency and the issues which mean the most when going to the polls. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Boardrooms love buzzwords.
0:01.9	AI, climate, resilience.
0:03.7	But what do they actually mean for CFOs and execs trying to survive the next earnings call?
0:08.3	That's where the pre-read comes in.
0:09.8	Real experts and real talk.
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0:17.1	From the opinion pages of the Wall Street Journal, this is Free Expression with Jerry Baker.
0:24.3	Hello and welcome to Free Expression from the Wall Street Journal. I'm Jerry Baker,
0:29.0	editors at large of the journal. If you're not already a subscriber, please you know where to sign up, do so wherever you do your podcast.
0:34.3	This week, it's six months to election day. The nation's
0:38.4	campuses are in uproar. The Republican presidential candidate is in a courtroom, and the incumbent
0:43.5	president and Democratic candidate is in a stew of domestic and international crises. Yes,
0:49.7	welcome to the 2024 presidential election again. We're going to take a look at the state of the race
0:54.6	and the many trends and vectors that will determine the outcome in the next 26 weeks
0:59.5	with one of the leading analysts and commentators on our elections. For some time now,
1:03.8	opinion polls have suggested a clear, potentially decisive pattern in the race. The two main
1:09.6	candidates are neck and neck in the national vote.
1:12.3	And the real clear politics polling average today, we're recording this on Tuesday,
1:16.5	shows Donald Trump on 47 percent, just one and a half points up on Joe Biden, who has been
1:22.3	closing that gap a little in recent weeks. But in the key swing states, Trump continues to have a small but apparently very
1:29.9	significant lead. With the vast majority of states seemingly set to fall one way or the other,
1:34.5	there are probably seven states that will determine the outcome in the electoral college this year.
	...

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