5 • 831 Ratings
🗓️ 9 March 2022
⏱️ 17 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hello, ready, welcome to the 100-year real estate investor. |
0:09.1 | We're your host, Jake and Gino, and this is the show dedicated to long-term personal financial |
0:13.7 | engineering. |
0:14.5 | The G-Dead and I recently read a memo by Howard Marks of Oak Tree Capital, titled Selling Out. |
0:24.1 | Now, really like this one. It resonated with us because, in our opinion, Marx really has long-termism. He has that long-term mindset. And again, we're talking |
0:30.1 | Howard Marks, not Carl, okay, distinct difference here. He discusses the basic idea of how everyone in financial, you know, personal finance, financial sales and things like that, whatever you're in, it's always investing, buy low, sell high. And it's like the four, you know, the four word mantra that everyone uses, but he actually challenges it. And, youino, I want to hear your perspective first, before we |
0:56.1 | break this down, onto why there may be some issues with buy low, sell high. |
1:02.3 | Jake, I'm really glad that you asked me that question, because I've been ponding this over the |
1:05.8 | last 15 or 20 years of my investing career. And I've been trying to time the market. Back in 2018 and |
1:12.6 | 2019, Jake and Gino are starting to buy assets. And we're hearing that the market is hot. |
1:17.7 | 2020. Roe, multifamily. We're at the high point. 2021. Same thing. 2022. Do you know how you can tell |
1:24.8 | when you've hit the top of a market? I want you to look back and go, oh, that was the top of the market. There is no possible way ever to be able to time the market. And if you think you can, you're going to make a big mistake. Now, this is what's happening. When people say buy low and sell high, what really happens is they buy high and they sell low. And I'm going to throw this |
1:45.7 | out there to anybody. And I'm going to get probably a lot of hate mail. I haven't gotten hate mail in a while, |
1:49.8 | but please don't show me this BS that stock market has returned 8% over the last 40 years. |
1:55.8 | How many people out there have actually kept their money in the stock market for the last 40 years |
2:00.2 | and not pulled it out when they've seen stock market for the last 40 years and not pulled |
2:01.1 | it out when they've seen the market go to 8,000 and go back up to 30,000. It's true. If you're |
2:06.4 | going to follow Howard Marks's strategy, you possibly could. But how many out there when you hit a certain |
2:11.8 | age, you need to pull money out of retirement? If you were in 2008 and all of a sudden, you're at a high point, oh, I'm going to retiring and you lose 30% of your equity. And now you still have to start |
2:21.7 | cashing in your stocks. That 8% is null and void. It's gone. So that's really, really important. |
2:27.0 | Don't look at those numbers. It's 8%. Now, obviously, if you need to sell for some type of capital |
2:31.8 | event, we should talk about this. If you need to replace it and put it into a different asset, that's understandable. You have a different opportunity. |
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