BUST WATCH - Top Tier NBA STATS ANALYST says AJ Dybantsa HIGH Bust Potential |Darryn Petterson Watch

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4.7 • 1.6K Ratings

🗓️ 13 May 2026

⏱️ 33 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

AJ Dybantsa’s draft stock is under the microscope as a top NBA analytics expert flags him with the highest bust potential—are his eye-popping unassisted two-point shots a red flag or misunderstood strength? David Locke breaks down Jeremiah Engelman’s data-driven concerns, comparing Dybantsa's profile to former top picks like Andrew Wiggins, Markelle Fultz, and Jabari Parker, and questions whether Dybantsa’s defensive metrics and offensive style make him a risky selection or simply a misunderstood prospect.

Transcript

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0:00.0	One of the leading advanced analytics guy in NBA history says that A.J. Dumbanza has the highest bus potential.
0:16.1	Are we buying? Next on Locked on Jazz.
0:20.4	But-a-pum-pum-pum-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pum-pump-pum-pum-pum-pum-ppum-ppppum-pppppppp next on Locked on Jazz. You are Locked on Jazz.
0:21.0	You are Locked on,
0:21.1	Bump, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, pump, pump, pump, pump, pump, pump,
0:34.5	part of the Locked on Podcast Network, your team every day.
0:40.7	How are you? I am David Locke. Today's show, Locked on Jazz, the measurements of the combine.
0:46.0	What is out on the shooting drills, the agility drills, all of those things. I think it brings
0:50.3	a fifth name into play, at least for the conversation. And a lot of what we anticipated we were going to see in this, but worth discussing.
0:59.4	I did an extended watch of Darren Peterson on just his pick and rolls.
1:04.7	Hard to believe when you watch that guy, he is not going to be the number one pick of the NBA draft.
1:09.6	But there are some real problems there that he has to develop as well.
1:13.5	We start with one of the lead NBA analysts of the analytics world says a bust.
1:22.9	A.J. DeBonsa has the highest bust potential of any of his draft prospects.
1:29.9	Scores in the 99th percentile and one of the most damaging predictors in his draft
1:36.1	model. Let's take it and look at it and see if we buy it.
1:39.5	Jeremiah's Engelman, he created ESPN's Real Plus Minus.
1:44.1	He's been one of the most innovative and forefront
1:48.3	advanced metrics people. I'll be honest out of the start. I think there's some context that's
1:54.2	missing here. I'm not sure I'm buying this. I do have little Palo Boncaro, AJ DeBanza vibes that make me a little nervous,
2:04.7	but not bust, not bust. But let's walk through it. Let's listen. Let's at least be open-minded
2:15.0	to what people are saying about the prospects that are out there and discussing them.
	...

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