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Welcome to the buck brief. Let's talk about the Iran factor right now in the Middle East. This is the single biggest question. I think out there about the trajectory of this conflict between

Hamas and Israel and what's going to happen in the days and weeks ahead. The situation is that already Iranian backed militias have started to take action started to fire rockets off started to shoot at effectively US assets in the region as well as the firing of rockets from Hezbollah in Lebanon into.

Into Israel so we'll discuss what this means what the implications are first off this is from Wall Street Journal Iran has unleashed regional militias it has spent years arming raising the risks of a larger conflict in the region.

For more than six months these Iranian back militia groups were framed from launching drones or rockets against American troops in Iraq and Syria as what was called an undeclared truth between Tehran and Washington the region.

That has come to a halt US official said Iran Iranian back groups launched a half dozen military drone and rocket attacks against bases that US troops use in Southeast Syria and in western and northern Iraq you also have in in Yemen the remember there's the Yemeni civil war has been raging on for many years there's the Houthi group inside of Yemen that is Iranian their shea and they are Iranian backed.

And the Houthis have fired Iranian cruise missiles and drones toward Israel but the US had a guided missile cruiser in the area that shot down some of the cruise missiles a another cruise missile was hit by Saudi Arabia protecting its own air space so you've already seen some of these different.

militia groups that are all just proxies of Iran of the militant Iran taking taking kinetic military action against either US assets or firing them at Israel now this could just be there's a few ways this can play out one is that these groups do this knowing that they won't escalate beyond this.

And so they can at least say if you will they can they can hold themselves up with oh well we we've tried to fight you know America and the Zionist entity which is what they call Israel.

We've been you know firing rockets we've been taking action so we stand with the Palestinians effectively using rockets for optics right because these rockets are not going to at least in the numbers that they've been firing them off they're not going to change anything in the region.

It's almost like they they protest what's going on in Gaza right now the Israeli air strikes and impending military invasion they show their protest against that by firing off all these rockets and doing these kinds of things so that's one possibility here I think that's the lightliest one at this phase.

The other possibility and this is one that people are very concerned about obviously is that this is these are effectively warning shots from Iran that if there is a major Israeli incursion in to Gaza that then the all these different Iranian militias remember you have Hezbollah operating in Lebanon it basically runs Lebanon and it's sophisticated has a lot of munitions has a lot of rockets and it's right next door to Israel.

You have in Syria Iranian trained in equipped militia groups and you know the possibility of those being used to stage attacks not only into Israel but more likely they would attack the remnants of us forces that are there I think we we have hundreds of US troops in Syria still to this day in Iraq.

We have some US troops present and those bases could also be attacked by the very powerful shea militia groups inside of Iraq so we might have a situation where not only would there be an escalation against Israel but an escalation against US forces now that's also the why I think this is probably not the way that this is going to go I think this is probably not going to happen.

Now when I say probably I don't know no one really knows but the American response to missiles or rather to a full scale assault beyond just the missiles of American personnel in either Syria or Iraq I think would be devastating.

I think that we would very likely go in with whatever we need to from the air to unleash tremendous punishment on the Iranian militias so that so there's a there's the response the escalation that we would do.

Then when people get really concerned as well with that mean that we'd have to also hit Iran in some way specifically that we'd have to go for targets inside of Iran would that be the next phase which would be effectively a declaration of war an effective declaration of war on Iran although you know we've had strikes and countries before that didn't necessarily mean we're at full scale war but in the case of Iran it it might very well mean something like that and with 20% of the world's oil supply going through the straits of war moves day in and day out.

You can imagine the cataclysmic economic effects never mind the national security implications of what could happen if this were to elevate to that level so this is why the Iran factor is so important in all of this and why us carry groups are in the region and why there's a tremendous amount of concern.

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Now there's been a big shift that is happening on college campuses right now I mean the a lot of the what comes the donors.

A lot of what you're seeing in terms of support for the Palestinian cause or Thomas or combination thereof is absurd and I don't mean that is in its like generally speaking I disagree with it it's immoral and it's stupid I mean that it's truly nonsensical.

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