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City Journal Audio

Bubbles and Innovation

City Journal Audio

Manhattan Institute

News, News Commentary, Politics

4.7657 Ratings

🗓️ 21 November 2024

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Ten Blocks. I'm Jordan McGillis, economics editor of City Journal.

0:22.9

Since the 1970s, advanced economies have experienced slower growth than they did in the first two-thirds of the 20th century.

0:28.4

The reason, according to great stagnation theorist Tyler Cowen, is that we've already picked

0:33.4

the technological low-hanging fruit that could deliver big returns to quality of life.

0:38.4

Now we're eking out better efficiency, but with real breakthroughs fewer and further between.

0:43.6

Into the economic malaise discourse has now arrived a new theory for how we can escape the great

0:48.2

stagnation. Burn Hobart and Tobias Huber argue for an unlikely remedy to slow growth,

0:54.0

bubbles.

0:55.1

In their forthcoming book, Boom, Bubbles and the End of Stagnation,

0:59.1

Hobart and Huber make the case that under the right conditions,

1:02.5

bubbles are the ideal exit ramps from stagnation.

1:06.1

Joining me to discuss this counterintuitive idea is author, Bern Hobart.

1:09.7

Burn, thanks for coming on.

1:11.3

Absolutely. Great to be here. Let's. Byrne, thanks for coming on. Absolutely.

1:11.9

Great to be here.

1:12.9

Let's start with the premise, the great stagnation.

1:15.6

Can you concretize that for us and give us examples that we might be able to recognize that show we have slowed down?

1:21.4

Yeah, yeah, absolutely.

1:22.2

So I think the place to start is that just the default state of humanity is we're very, very poor, and over our lifetime, that does not change in any visible way.

1:31.8

That's been the human experience from pretty much the dawn of time through about the mid-19th century, and depending on exactly where you were in the world, that hit a little bit earlier, a little bit later.

1:41.6

But we did reach this positive inflection point after

1:44.5

a long period where the GDP per capita, it wasn't just flat. It was just compounding at an

...

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