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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Breaking Down the U.S. Midterm Elections: What’s Next for Policy, Markets and Economic Growth

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 10 November 2022

⏱️ 27 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

As the voting continues from the U.S. midterm elections, the results so far indicate a status quo in country’s political divisions. But what does a divided Congress mean for policy, markets and economic growth? In the latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs Research’s Alec Phillips and the Office of Government Affairs’ Joe Wall analyze the results of the U.S. midterm elections and the impact for policy and economic growth.

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's Wednesday afternoon, November 9th, and the vote count continues from Tuesday's

0:04.4

midterm elections. But after all races are called, what will the results mean for policy,

0:10.3

markets, and economic growth? What that probably means is that number one,

0:15.0

divided government just makes it less likely

0:18.0

that they're able to get any kind of fiscal package

0:21.0

or recession fighting package done in a divided Congress.

0:24.5

And then number two, that if they do do it,

0:27.4

it would probably be pretty small.

0:29.4

And I'd imagine it would be smaller than what we've seen

0:32.0

in the last three recessions.

0:34.0

I'm Allison Nathan and Mrs Exchanges at Goldman Sachs.

0:38.0

The next Congress will call the shots on a range of critical issues.

0:45.0

Joining me today to break down the results and implications of the U.S. midterm elections are

0:50.4

Alec Phillips, Goldman Sachs researches, chief U.S. political economist, and Joe Wall, a

0:55.5

managing director in our Office of Government Affairs.

0:58.4

Alec Joe, thanks for joining us for the special edition of Exchanges.

1:02.0

Thanks for having us.

1:02.8

glad to be here.

1:03.8

Let's just start out by framing what we're seeing so far in these races.

1:08.0

Joe, give us a sense of some of the outcomes and how they compare to expectations.

1:12.4

Yeah, the expectations as most of the listeners, I'm sure are fairly aware, was that we were going to see a red wave,

1:18.0

both in terms of the House flipping to Republican control

...

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