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BREAKDOWN: What 2020 Taught Us About the ‘Dollar Milkshake Theory,’ feat. Brent Johnson

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4.8689 Ratings

🗓️ 30 December 2020

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Santiago Capital investor takes a look at what 2020 taught us about his notable economic theory.

This episode is sponsored by Crypto.com and Nexo.io.

Brent Johnson is an investor at Santiago Capital and the creator of the well-known “Dollar Milkshake Theory.” In this conversation with NLW, he discusses what 2020 taught us about the state of the dollar around the world.

Find our guest online: @santiagoaufund

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Transcript

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0:00.0

When money stops circulating, the money supply shrinks. The reason they do QE and they do fiscal

0:06.7

spending is to replace the money that's disappearing. So you got a bucket with water in it, right?

0:11.2

And it's got holes in it and there's water leaking out of the bucket. Well, if you pour money

0:15.3

into the top of the bucket, you can keep the bucket from going dry, but unless you pour more

0:20.3

in than is being leaked out,

0:22.1

the bucket never overflows over the top.

0:24.6

QE and these fiscal programs kind of keep the bucket from going dry,

0:29.1

but they don't lead to this runaway hyperinflation that everybody predicts

0:33.0

every time the government says we're going to spend a trillion dollars.

0:37.1

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.

0:41.5

It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world.

0:47.6

The breakdown is sponsored by crypto.com and nexo.io.

0:51.4

And produced and distributed by CoinDesk.

0:58.8

What's going on, guys? It is Wednesday,

1:05.7

December 30th, and today I'm joined by Brent Johnson. Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital is probably best known today for his dollar milkshake theory. His view that the dollar and U.S. markets suck the liquidity

1:12.2

from everywhere else. I'm sure we're going to get into that in this conversation on our

1:16.8

end-of-year extravaganza. So without any further ado, let's get to it. All right, Brent, welcome

1:24.3

back to the breakdown. It's great to have you here again. Happy to be here. Thanks for having me.

1:28.7

So a fun end of the year episode, and I thought of you when I was thinking about some of these

1:34.6

questions. I think you'll have really interesting insight into it. So I'm kicking off with

1:39.3

a question that I think is sort of the big one, right? Which is what, in your opinion, was the most important economic story of 2020?

1:48.7

Well, I mean, the easy answer would be the COVID lockdowns, right?

...

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