Boomflation or a Recession? (EP.244)
Animal Spirits Podcast
The Compound
4.7 ⢠2.1K Ratings
šļø 16 February 2022
ā±ļø 57 minutes
šļø Recording | iTunes | RSS
š§¾ļø Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Today's animal spirits episode is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts. |
| 0:03.6 | Remember Y-charts is a research platform that enables smarter investments and better |
| 0:06.9 | prospect and client communications. |
| 0:08.8 | We use this for our client communications. |
| 0:10.6 | Let them know animal spirits and you can get 20% off of your new subscription. |
| 0:14.6 | Like what Y-charts data are we looking at today? |
| 0:16.2 | All right. |
| 0:16.7 | What we're looking at is a chart for the age has been, and I do not use those words lightly. |
| 0:23.0 | For the past 40 years, interest rates and inflation have both gone from the upper left |
| 0:31.2 | to the lower right. |
| 0:32.4 | They've both gone down. |
| 0:34.2 | And now we're in this really weird period in time where even though interest rates are |
| 0:38.4 | rising, which I think we have a chart of the two year in here later for today, the |
| 0:42.1 | 10 years now above 2%, but inflation is so far ahead. |
| 0:49.3 | And for a little bit, they were both rising at the same pace and then rates basically |
| 0:57.8 | just sputtered out. |
| 0:58.8 | Yeah, they've been rising a little bit, but isn't it funny when you see prognoscators |
| 1:02.4 | say interest rates spike today and it's like a 10 basis point increase or something. |
| 1:07.4 | It seems so small, but I guess that's a relative basis. |
| 1:10.6 | The big question is, is the Fed able to navigate this sort of soft landing where we can |
| 1:19.2 | have inflation moderate without going into a recession? |
| 1:22.9 | Which I don't think, not that there's that many examples of this, but Tim Dewey on |
... |
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