Welcome to the Beck QL Daily Boost. I'm Lucy Burge of Beck QL.com. And I am joined by Dan Carpook and Kate Constable. And we have for all of you today an NBA Osboost on Boy on Bogdanovich and Evan Mobley to each have over 19 and a half points.

This is boosted to plus 350 at Caesars. Bogdanovich has hit this over in his last four games and Mobley has done so in three of his last six. So I one of those 30 plus points. So I love the value in both of these to happen.

Yeah, if you look at what Evan Mobley has done lately, I mean, he's shot 58% 5360 44. I mean, his percentage is because he's scoring so close to the rim or so high every night that you've got to believe that he can score at least 20 points in a game against a Detroit defense that is very, very bad.

And Bogdanovich, he's been kind of the pistons leading scorer since Kate Cunningham has been out. I mean, he's someone who they have to rely on for a ton of offense every night. So this isn't a crazy number for either of these two players to meet. So if you're getting this type of odds, I like that a lot.

Yeah, and Lucy, as you mentioned, Bogdanovich went over this four straight times, 21, 23, 21, 29 points. I'm not concerned about him whatsoever.

Mobley, on the other hand, a little bit concerned about him, but the last couple times he played bad front court defenses. He had 23 points against the thunder, 21 points against the rockets.

Kate, you mentioned how efficient he's been lately. Yes, he's in this offense that shares the ball, which gives a little bit of pause here. But the pistons ranked second worst in defensive rating in the league. They're terrible.

They've allowed 22.3 points per game to opposing power forwards this year as well. And at plus 350, there's a 22.2% implied probability that this happens. I'd put this more in like the 35 to 40% range if I was creating the odds for it. So I think there's a lot of value here.

So much value. I had to keep double checking to 19 and a half and not like 24 25 and a half. This is a great value here, especially Bogdanovich involved in this odds boost. So get in on that at plus 350 at Caesars and head to betql.com and get your free three day trial today and check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well.

And follow us on Twitter, of course, at Daniel Carpook at Kate Constable and at Lucille Burge, favorite bets for today. I'm sticking with the NBA and I am once again going.

No, I know it's shocking. I know this will shock many Celtics minus four and a half against 76ers. They came through and covered that 11 points spread in their last game by a hair.

Sweating that out. Believe me against the pistons and I'm going with them once again to cover here against the sixers at home. The Celtics are 14 and 13 against the spread.

76ers are 12 and 12 against the spread on the road. So the Celtics have the better record there. And when the Celtics and sixers faced off to start the season, the Celtics beat them 126 to 117. So I think the Celtics can take them down in similar fashion here and cover this bread.

And before I get to my NBA pick, I do want to mention Joel and bead under 30 and a half points tonight is one of my best plays of the day.

You know why? Because Al Horford absolutely dominates him on the defensive and he knows exactly how to play him. I think a little bit of time together that they spent there in Philadelphia also, you know, help things out there. I think he learned some picked ups on some key things in practice and then Robert Williams to his back. So I like the Celtics tonight too.

It should be mentioned that you are crushing it in player props. So look, look at dance.

I'm going to have an assault season there. I'm going to go with the Kings though. The Kings minus eight at the Rockets. I'm going to also say that before I get into this that I love the over in this game. It's a 241. I'm, you know, you look at it and over at 241 and might be a little hesitant there, but this is a rematch of Monday's game that finished with a 260 point total.

It was 140 to 120 Kings when the two times before that the teams combined for 250, 250, 350 points. I do like the over. However, if I want to get a little bit safer, I'm going to go the Kings minus eight just in case Houston gets cold and doesn't score whatever. So the Kings have won by 20, 25 and 20 points in the first three meetings between these two teams and have scored 140, 139 and 135 points.

Oh, my God, Mike Brown's motion offense has given Houston's turn style defense. I don't say that about too many teams, but they are horrible defensively massive issues. I don't expect that to suddenly change here in the fourth meeting between these two squads with pretty much the same rosters as Monday night. So Kings minus eight, but I also like the over.

Love that one. Dan, I'm going to go over to college basketball. I'm going to take West Virginia at home minus three and a half against Iowa State. I think Iowa States, the better team, but they have struggled on the road this season. They have not won a road game since what January 7th, their own four in their last four road games. And this is a really good opportunity for West Virginia to get a quad one win.

They also play a similar type of defense to Iowa State. And that's what's made Iowa State so successful is that they really ramp up the defensive intensity turn teams over trying to make the game very chaotic and West Virginia can do the same, which would then force Iowa State to have to play in the half court.

And when Iowa State has to play in the half court and not in transition, their offense struggled. So I will take West Virginia at home Lee in a short number and what I think is a little bit of a fishy line because the mountaineers aren't at the caliber as Iowa State, but it's kind of those fishy lines that I oftentimes like to take and seem to be the right side.

...