4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 27 May 2020
⏱️ 6 minutes
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How should you think about market correlations when designing your investment strategy.
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0:00.0 | We had one question actually from one of the guys that came to the live event that we hosted last year, and that's from Seth. |
0:12.0 | And he just asked whether we could just discuss a little bit about how you incorporate correlation into a trend following program. |
0:23.6 | So again, obviously you trade 35 markets you said, but what are your thoughts about correlations |
0:31.6 | in terms of thinking about it in building that system or model so I sort of deal with |
0:39.7 | it on two levels the first is is to think about the long-term correlation between the trading |
0:43.7 | systems and we've already discussed that right we've we've said that's generally lower than it's |
0:49.2 | for the the actual instruments themselves so what you you want to do is obviously measure correlation and use it |
0:58.2 | to construct the most diversified set of portfolios you can do. So that means, for example, |
1:06.0 | that you want to diversify across asset classes because they do have a lower correlation than say, you know, |
1:12.1 | five and ten year bonds. The trading systems themselves, as I said, not as correlated as the |
1:18.3 | underlying assets, but they're still going to be reasonably well correlated, whereas, you |
1:22.2 | know, a trading system trading lean hogs versus Aussie dollar, there's going to be quite a low correlation |
1:28.9 | there so those are two things you want to have in your portfolio the same thing |
1:33.5 | applies actually interestingly with with the question of speed so a |
1:38.6 | 199 day and a 200 day moving average are very highly correlated so as well as costs coming in in terms of thinking about how you allocate across speeds, |
1:50.0 | the other thing is that you want to have probably, ideally, you know, ignoring all other |
1:56.0 | effects a bit more fast momentum and a bit more slow momentum and not so much medium momentum because that medium momentum is going to be correlated with both the fast and the slow |
2:04.6 | whereas the fast and the slow are going to be more diversifying because they're kind of quite |
2:08.6 | spread out on the frequency spectrum. So you have this weird kind of effect that you |
2:14.6 | want to have a sort of a U-shape set of weights allocating to speeds, |
2:18.8 | a lot on the fast, a lot of the slow, not so much in the medium, but if you then apply |
2:23.7 | the kind of question of costs on that, then obviously that's going to push you potentially |
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