4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 21 May 2020
⏱️ 9 minutes
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Rob Carver describes diversification, portfolio construction, & correlations.
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0:00.0 | You know, I mentioned your first book, which we talked a lot about in our first conversation |
0:06.9 | many years ago, Rob. You also wrote a book called Smart Portfolios, and you start out with a quote |
0:14.2 | from Harry Markowich where it says, I only have one piece of advice, diversify, And if I had to offer a second piece of advice, |
0:22.9 | it would be remember that the future will not necessarily be like the past. |
0:27.5 | Therefore, we should diversify. |
0:29.3 | So diversification, I would love to just dive into this. |
0:33.3 | Talk to me about how you think about diversification. |
0:37.2 | What does it really mean to you to be diversified? |
0:40.6 | Because I think we all have our own different interpretations of what that is. |
0:46.0 | I mean, the basic maths behind diversification is that obviously you're trying to hold assets which are uncorrelated. |
0:52.9 | And that means that the average risk of your portfolio would be lower than it otherwise would |
0:57.9 | be. |
0:58.9 | And the nice thing then is that, you know, as we're all people trading futures, we can leverage |
1:07.7 | up to hit a given risk target and basically earn that diversification in the form of extra returns, |
1:14.8 | which is obviously what the investor ultimately wants. |
1:18.8 | Now, there's a kind of a few issues with the statement I've just made, |
1:23.1 | and one is that this idea that correlation is a good measure of diversification because correlation is |
1:30.8 | a linear measure. |
1:33.1 | So it kind of assumes that assets always have the same relationship. |
1:36.5 | So generally speaking, if assets are negatively correlated, that means that all the time. |
1:41.6 | If one asset goes down, the other one should go up and vice versa. |
1:45.0 | And you know we can kind of bring this to the present day because last week, you know, we |
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