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🗓️ 7 November 2025
⏱️ 22 minutes
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Ahead of the United Nations 30th annual climate conference, Bill Gates released a memo that, you could say, surprised a lot of people. That’s because in this memo he seemingly changed his position on climate change, acknowledging that there is no “doomsday” risk from global warming.
Now, the memo is long (it’s over 5,000 words) and it’s filled with data, graphs, charts, and anecdotes—laying out the argument that climate change is not going to lead to the end of civilization, that measuring temperatures isn’t the best measure of progress on the issue, and that thirdly, the money being spent on climate related issues would be better allocated towards improving human health and prosperity.
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| 0:00.0 | Ahead of the United Nations 30th annual climate conference, otherwise known as COP 30, |
| 0:05.2 | Bill Gates released a memo that you could say surprised a lot of people. |
| 0:09.0 | That's because in his memo, he seemingly changed his position on climate change, |
| 0:14.3 | acknowledging for the first time ever publicly that there is no doomsday risk from global warming. |
| 0:20.4 | Now, the memo itself is pretty long. |
| 0:21.9 | It's over 5,000 words, |
| 0:23.8 | and it's filled with data, graphs, charts, and anecdotes |
| 0:27.2 | laying out his argument that climate change is not going to lead to the end of civilization. |
| 0:34.1 | Secondly, that measuring global temperatures is not the best measure for progress on this particular |
| 0:39.7 | issue, and that thirdly, the money being spent on climate-related issues would be better |
| 0:44.9 | allocated towards improving human health as well as human prosperity. To get an idea of his thesis, |
| 0:50.9 | here was his opening salvo in the memo, quote, there is a doomsday view of climate change that goes something like this. |
| 0:58.2 | In a few decades, cataclysmic climate change will decimate civilization. |
| 1:02.5 | The evidence is all around us. Just look at all the heat waves and storms caused by rising global |
| 1:07.5 | temperatures. Nothing matters more than limiting the rise in temperature. |
| 1:11.3 | Fortunately, for all of us, this view is wrong. Although climate change will have serious |
| 1:16.4 | consequences, particularly for people in the poorest countries, it will not lead to humanity's |
| 1:21.4 | demise. People will be able to live and thrive in most places on Earth for the foreseeable future. |
| 1:27.1 | Now, that's wild wild because that is a complete |
| 1:31.2 | 180 from the narrative that's been pushed over the last decade plus. And as just one example of |
| 1:36.8 | thousands, right here in New York City, over in Union Square, there's this massive doomsday clock |
| 1:41.9 | looking over the city, which is literally counting |
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