Welcome back to Beyond the Polls. This week we take a deep dive into MaguWorld and intro Republican

divisions with Ryan Gurdowski. Let's dive in. Well, this week I'm going to be doing something

for the rest of the year that I was doing during the campaign year. That is, instead of having a

monthly rant, all things politics,

I'm going to have a weekly rant. So this is my take on where things stand. And then I want to

talk about another project that I've got going with Rikoshae, my producers on this podcast, that I

think you might be interested in. First of all, well, the situation don't look that great for Republicans right now. Now,

it's not that it's baked in the cake. You usually don't start to say that an election is baked

in in some direction until about five or six months out. And even then, you can see significant changes.

In 2022, it sure looked like things were baked in the cake against the Democrats that Biden's job approval was at or lower

than Trump's is right now. Generic ballot was floating in Republicans' favor. And it certainly

looked like there would be a Republican wave. And of course, what Biden did was turn it

into a referendum, not on himself, but on Donald Trump. And that persuaded just enough people to say,

I'm not sure I want to give Trump Republicans the keys to the car yet that, well, it wasn't a great

year for Democrats. It certainly was not the problem year that most people thought,

even up until the weekend of the election. So there's time left, okay? But where we stand right

now is Donald Trump has a very low job approval rate. And if you look at the real clear

politics average right now, it's at 42.1%. Now, as you've been, my loyal listeners know, this understates Trump's true position because of those polls of all adults.

All adults includes non-voters and it includes non-citizens.

There are 13 polls in the real clear politics averages I record this.

Three of them are of all adults.

The average there is 37.8%. The average of the 10 that are of registered voters or likely voters is 43.4%. That's a huge difference.

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