Betting markets are predicting the election. Don’t put too much stock into it
Marketplace All-in-One
Marketplace
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 25 October 2024
⏱️ 9 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Bettors think they’ve already figured out the presidential election winner, with many odds sites predicting a slim victory for former President Trump less than two weeks away from Voting Day. But according to FHN Financial’s Christopher Low, there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical of any predictions in such a tight election, including betting markets’ own recent track record. Plus, we take a trip to a factory in Texas that’s giving a second life to batteries used in EVs. And, one Scottish manufacturer is reusing onion skins in their packaging to reduce plastic waste.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Bringing batteries back from the dead. I'm David Brancaccio. A new factory will bring new life to old electric vehicle batteries turning them into longer term energy storage. |
| 0:12.0 | This week the Energy Department announced a |
| 0:13.8 | 20 million dollar grant to partially finance a conversion plant in Texas. It's part of |
| 0:18.9 | an emerging EV battery reuse ecosystem. Here's Marketplace's Elizabeth Troval. The factory in Taylor, Texas |
| 0:26.2 | will be run by Moment Energy. CEO Edward Chang says it will use old batteries |
| 0:31.2 | for less stressful kinds of energy storage. |
| 0:34.4 | Like powering commercial buildings, |
| 0:37.2 | E.V. chargers and whatnot. |
| 0:39.3 | And eventually backup power at utility scale. |
| 0:43.0 | Any natural disasters and the grid breaks down |
| 0:46.0 | will then you can discharge the energy back into the grid to recharge it. |
| 0:50.0 | Repurposing is vital from an environmental perspective, says Jessica Dunn with the union of concerned scientists. |
| 0:57.0 | Even if a battery is at like 70, 80, even lower percent capacity, It's basically more environmentally friendly to |
| 1:05.6 | repurpose that battery instead of sending it directly to recycling. But these |
| 1:11.1 | are early days and there are many hurdles to overcome before 2030 when we're |
| 1:16.2 | expected to see much bigger waves of retired EV batteries come through. |
| 1:20.9 | I'm Elizabeth Troval per marketplace. A crypto-based market where you can |
| 1:26.8 | place bets on who wins. Kamala Harris or Donald Trump is now putting the |
| 1:30.6 | odds of a Trump victory at 2 out of 3 66 percent. Now if every |
| 1:35.3 | person who will vote on election day we're placing an equal wager this would be |
| 1:39.1 | predictive but as it stands polymarket as it's called is the sum of the hunches of people who are partial to |
| 1:45.4 | cryptocurrency. Public opinion polls may not be reliable either but those show |
... |
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