The Toronto Raptors continuing what has been an epic comeback taking a 3-2 lead at the expense of the Milwaukee box 105 to 99.

I picked the Toronto Raptors in this series. I disavowed that pick after game 1 and now I'm looking quite prescient still though.

Plenty of hope for box fans. It was some random that I came across this stat last week.

But the record for teams that trail 3-2 in a series overall since 1984 is 27 and 162 all time.

But in this specific situation when a team wins the first two at home, lose as 3 in a row.

They actually are 8 and 7 in the series. Moreover, in all of those 8 wins, I'll actually actually say it another way.

Every single time the team that was down 3-2 won, game 6 on the other teams home court, they also won the game 7.

So that happened 8 times obviously if they're 8 and 7. Sub might say, oh well that's because that team had home court advantage.

Not so much actually, the overall teams that had home court advantage down 3, 2 are 16 and 53 winning 19% of the time.

So that's a lot better when your down 3-2 is the road team. But still pretty ugly.

Do you think there could be anything about winning the first two and losing the next three that could make you more likely to win a series or is that just random noise?

My instinct is that it's random noise. But I can't really see too much there off the top of my head.

And especially when you're dealing with that small sample size, there could be guys coming back from injury, foul trouble, maker misleague, all those sorts of things.

It's such a stark difference though.

It is though, that is pretty interesting. Well I mean you get into the thing that 80% of game 7s are won by the home team.

So if you win, it doesn't surprise me that road teams that win game 6s often win the game 7.

So I guess if you make that extrapolation that a portion of those teams, they're the better seed and all that.

I guess I do kind of see it from that perspective.

I mean maybe what you could say is teams that go up to 0, you've won the desperation game 2 already.

Where the team is already down 1-3, you kind of get this yo-yo effect a lot of times in NBA playoff series.

And so you must be really good to have gone up to 0 to begin with even if you then lose 2 on the road.

And then lose that third at home, maybe that's part of it.

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