Bet The Algo: Week 6 Free 3

Back Door Cover

MWBK Creative

Sports

4.8 • 880 Ratings

🗓️ 12 October 2023

⏱️ 28 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Can't Miss Mitch and his brainchild the Value Index Algorithm AKA ALGO return for week 3 of the NFL season to bring you 3 free picks. Get every ALGO pick every single week along with bonus content by subscribing to the Bet the Algo Patreon Page at patreon.com/betthealgo New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders Predicted Score: NE 16.48, LV 19.05 Spread: -3.0 Value Index: 0.43 Preview: Pressure cooker situation – can the Raiders' QB handle the heat from NE's front seven? • Even though NE's Sack % at 6.94% is ranked 19th, the spotlight falls on LV's QB Sacked % at a worrying 8.38%, ranking them 22nd. Expect the Patriots to dial up the pressure and aim to disrupt the Raiders' offensive rhythm. Model's Pick: New England Patriots Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Jets Predicted Score: PHI 24.36 - NYJ 17.36 Spread: 6.5 Value Index: 0.51 Offensive Dominance: Preview: High-flying Eagles versus grounded Jets; who will emerge victorious? • Philadelphia's offense is in a league of its own when compared to the Jets. With a 5th rank in Points/Game (28.2), they dwarf the Jets who languish at 24th with just 18.6 points. This pronounced differential suggests a clear offensive edge for the Eagles. Rushing Strength: Preview: Ground and pound - Can the Eagles exploit the Jets' rush defensive frailties? • The Eagles, with a league-leading average of 35.8 rushes per game and ranking 2nd in Rush Yards/Game (164.0), seem set to target the Jets' weak run defense, which allows 146.2 Rush Yards/Game and ranks a poor 29th. Defensive Solidity: Preview: An impenetrable fortress or a house of cards? How will the Jets' offense fare against Philadelphia's defense? • Philadelphia's defense stands tall, ranking 10th in limiting Opponent Yards/Game (308.8). The Jets, on the other hand, struggle with their offensive output, averaging a mere 283.6 Yards/Game (27th rank). The Eagles might just have the defensive tools to keep the Jets at bay. Conversion Efficiency: Preview: To convert or not? That's the question for the Jets against the Eagles. • The Eagles shine bright in 3D Conversion Percentage, boasting a 50.68% success rate, ranking them 2nd. The Jets seem to falter here, holding the unfortunate last position in the league with a paltry 26.23%. Expect the Eagles to sustain drives, while the Jets might find themselves punting more often. Turnovers: Preview: A battle of wits and skills - which team will maintain ball security? • Both teams are positive when it comes to turnover margin. Yet, the Eagles edge out with 1.6 Takeaways/Game (10th rank), hinting at a higher likelihood of them capitalizing on the Jets' mistakes, especially given the Jets' offense tendency to give away the ball. Model's Pick: Philadelphia Eagles Detroit Lions vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predicted Score: DET 24.33 - TB 19.65 Spread: 3.0 Value Index: 1.68 Offensive Powerhouse vs. Defensive Average: Preview: Fire meets water as Detroit's offense clashes with Tampa's defense. • Detroit, with their impressive 4th rank in Points/Game (29.6), looks set to test TB's defense, which allows 17.0 Points/Game (8th rank). While the Buccaneers have a commendable defensive unit, Detroit's explosive offense has consistently put up significant numbers, hinting at a potential fireworks show this weekend. Preview: Showstoppers or bystanders? How will Detroit's defense perform against Tampa Bay's offense? • Detroit's defense, with 3.8 Takeaways/Game, ranks 5th and showcases their ability to change the game's momentum. In contrast, Tampa Bay's offense, which gives away the ball 2.2 times per game (21st rank), might be playing with fire against this opportunistic Detroit defense. Model's Pick: Detroit Lions

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0	Pete, week six is here.
0:05.0	Pete, week six is here.
0:09.0	Thank goodness, because week five for me was a disaster absolute disaster I am embarrassed I want to
0:19.0	burn the algo I'm honestly like I couldn't stop I was at a c. L over the weekend and all I could think about was the late afternoon games that went oh and for I've never seen that in my life. By the way, all four games, I didn't even realize this.
0:36.0	All four games were in the circuit, which we forgot to post. Thank God. Thank goodness. I forgot because I was probably two or three Eddie's deep Sunday,
0:49.5	very early getting ready for my one excursion of the weekend to go hang out with 24 year olds at a music
0:58.8	festival. First off, what a loser I am.
1:01.3	14 year olds, more like 24 girls.
1:04.2	But yeah, I mean, listen, I was at home watching it unfold.
1:11.1	I kind of watch more football than I usually get the chance of this
1:13.6	Sunday but everything looked fantastically rosy, you know, so it recapping some of the
1:22.4	highlights that we did have from week five the primetime games
1:26.2	prime time scrubs you guys went two and one and I think another thing that you can't
1:32.1	dismiss those extra pro package games that the pros pay for
1:38.0	those games went two and one as well so that's a nice little window of winds and opportunities
1:44.8	that you got there.
1:46.1	You know, Thursday through Sunday early,
1:48.2	it looked fantastic.
1:49.5	It was five and three until the 3 p.m. the dreaded 3 p.m. window started and to be honest all of those
1:58.4	games look great they look really good they look they look good they look good until they didn't. Well, what's funny, all four of them looked like they could go our way, the Algo's way, and then all of a sudden all four went the wrong way which was very surprising
2:18.2	that the algorithm would lose all four of those like you maybe at worst you think one and three probably two and two but all of the
2:28.0	better teams really stepped up late in the game and got those covers. There's another thing I wanted to point out. There's two things really here. The algo, something to make sure you pay attention to when the algo is so low on an island this season on its own it's 71%
	...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Previous episode | Next episode

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from MWBK Creative, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of MWBK Creative and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.