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Thoughts on the Market

Ben Swinburne: Media Eyes the Great Reopening

Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley

Strategy, Alternatives, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Global, Business, Markets, Economics

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 23 February 2021

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Media and entertainment had a tricky 2020 with lockdowns pulling forward years of growth for some companies—and challenges to others. So, what happens now?

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Thoughts on the Market.

0:04.2

I'm Benjamin Swinburne, Equity Analyst covering media, entertainment, advertising, and the

0:08.6

cable satellite industries.

0:10.2

Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about the

0:13.8

road ahead for media and entertainment in 2021.

0:17.6

It's Tuesday, February 23rd at 11 a.m. in New York.

0:21.6

When I get questions about the industries I cover, there's naturally a lot of discussion

0:25.2

and focus on disruption.

0:26.8

But despite all the attention on disruption, media and entertainment is also a very cyclical

0:30.7

business, meaning the stock performance of these companies often has a direct relationship

0:34.7

to the health of the economy.

0:36.2

From that perspective, 2021 looks like a year of top-line strength as the health of the

0:40.7

global economy improves and we begin to emerge from the shadow of COVID.

0:44.6

Before looking ahead, it's worth taking a moment to look back at 2020, since COVID had

0:48.4

a tremendous impact on pretty much every company we cover.

0:51.7

Much of the world was locked down in their homes, streaming movies and music, reading

0:55.5

and watching news, more eyeballs on digital advertising, and so on.

0:59.4

But we were also in our homes, so theme parks took a hit, outdoor advertising, movie theaters,

1:04.0

so some profound impacts.

1:05.8

As a result last year, the best performing stocks in media and entertainment were up over

1:09.5

100% year on year, and the worst performing stocks were down over 50% year on year.

1:14.2

So moving forward, some opportunities may lie with companies where the market may have

...

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