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Animal Spirits Podcast

Bear Market Math (EP.280)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.72.1K Ratings

🗓️ 26 October 2022

⏱️ 56 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On today's show we discuss the slowing housing market, taking Animal Spirits on the road, why consumers keep spending money, how the stock market moves during a bear market, some optimism for a 60/40 portfolio, why the 4% rule is still alive and well, a bunch of movie recommendations and much more.   Find complete shownotes on our blogs...  Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common Sense  Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant Investor  Like us on Facebook  And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's show is brought to you by Y-charts.

0:03.0

We just got data that S&P home price index fell 1.32% month over month.

0:09.9

Year over year prices are still up 13%.

0:12.5

But this is the biggest monthly decline since 2009.

0:17.4

I'm looking at this K-Shiller month over month chart in Y-charts

0:22.6

and tells the story beautifully.

0:24.9

Picture says it's out in the thousand words.

0:27.0

Here we hear that one.

0:28.2

Here we hear that one.

0:29.7

A couple times.

0:31.2

I mean, shouldn't it be like more like a picture tells like 50 words these days?

0:34.8

Keep it short and sweet.

0:36.2

I would be more worried if housing prices weren't falling over right now,

0:38.8

rolling over.

0:39.6

If they weren't falling, I think something else would be COC wrong.

0:42.8

I got an alert on my phone.

0:44.0

We're going to talk about home prices in my neighborhood on the show today.

0:45.9

I got an alert on my phone this morning.

0:47.4

A home was listed under $600,000.

0:49.6

Don't know the last time I've seen that one.

0:51.2

Okay, good thing.

0:52.4

You only need mortgage rates to fall in half to make sense for people.

...

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