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Intelligent Design the Future

Bayesian Probability and Intelligent Design: A Beginner’s Guide

Intelligent Design the Future

Discovery Institute's Center for Science and Culture

Philosophy, Society & Culture, Astronomy, Life Sciences, Science

4.31K Ratings

🗓️ 20 November 2023

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

If the phrase "Bayesian calculus" makes you run for the hills, you're not alone! Bayesian logic can sound intimidating at first, but if you give it a little time, you'll understand how useful it can be to evaluate the evidence for design in the natural world. On this ID The Future, Dr. Jonathan McLatchie gives us a beginner's guide to Bayesian thinking and teaches us how it can be used to build a strong cumulative case for intelligent design, as well as how we can use it in our everyday lives. Enjoying the podcast? Leave a written review at Apple Podcasts to help new listeners find the show!

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Transcript

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0:00.0

I. Welcome to ID the Future. I'm your host Andrew McDermott. Today I'm speaking with Dr.

0:17.2

Jonathan McClatchy, fellow and resident biologist at the Discovery Institute's

0:21.6

Center for Science and Culture.

0:24.0

Jonathan was previously an assistant professor at Sadler College in Boston, where he lectured biology

0:29.5

for four years.

0:31.1

He holds a bachelor's degree in forensic biology, a master's degree in

0:34.8

evolutionary biology, a second master's degree in medical and molecular

0:38.7

bioscience, and a PhD in evolutionary biology.

0:43.2

His research interests include the scientific evidence for design in nature,

0:47.2

arguments for the existence of God,

0:49.3

and New Testament scholarship.

0:51.7

Jonathan is also founder and director of Talk About Doubts.com.

0:56.2

Jonathan, welcome. Great to be here, Andrew. How are you doing? I'm doing well. Thank you very much.

1:01.5

Well today I'd like your help giving ID the future

1:04.0

listeners a beginner's guide to Bayesian reasoning and how we can apply that kind of

1:09.2

reasoning to the hypothesis of design in the natural world.

1:13.0

Now listeners don't run away or turn this off just at the word Bayesian.

1:18.0

Don't be afraid of it.

1:19.0

We are going to break it down for you and you'll begin to understand how to use it in your own life and in your

1:25.1

own arguments.

1:26.1

Now until recently I myself didn't know about Bays and reasoning.

1:30.0

I'd heard of it.

...

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