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Hey, good morning, Playbookers. I'm Rogumunovallin. It's Monday.

Today's show, Why a Red Tsunami might not be headed to the midterms.

It's her Politico Playbook Daily Briefing.

It's been a long time since we've seen National Democrats in such a good mood about their electoral chances.

Over the last few weeks, amid a spate of legislative movement, falling gas prices,

stumbling Republican Senate candidates, and the sense of a growing backlash to efforts to

restrict abortion, the fight for control of Congress seems to have tightened.

Gone are the days when pundits confidently predicted a red tsunami.

The latest poll from NBC News, which still shows Republicans with a lead in the Gone are the days when pundits confidently predicted a red tsunami.

The latest poll from NBC News, which still shows Republicans with a lead in the generic congressional ballot, had two data points that stuck out to us.

One, Democrats have almost eliminated the enthusiasm gap with Republicans.

Notes Mark Murray, quote, according to the survey,

68% of Republicans express a high level of interest in the upcoming election versus 66% for Democrats.

That two-point GOP advantage is down from 17 points in March and 8 points in May.

Per the pollsters, the biggest contributing factor was, unsurprisingly, the Supreme Court's

Dobb decision,

which overturned Roe v. Wade.

You can expect Democrats to continue hammering the issue in the 11 weeks remaining before

Election Day, as Bloomberg put it in a headline Sunday about the role of abortion rights

in the election, quote, Democrats sense new optimism for blending GOP's midterm gains.

And two, voters ranked threats to democracy as a more important issue than cost of living.

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