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Hey, good morning, playbookers. I'm Rogum Winovalin. It's Thursday.

Today's show, we got a bit of a preview of the Senate electoral map.

It's your Politico Playbook Daily Briefing.

Twelve weeks before the midterm elections and Republicans' hopes of retaking the Senate

rest on a slate of Donald Trump's handpicked

nominees. And across the board, they appear to be struggling. In Pennsylvania, a ferocious

Democratic campaign to paint Memonaz as an out-of-touch carpet bagger has left him trailing in multiple

polls. Herschel Walker may be a Georgia Bulldogs legend, but key voters appear to be doubting him after a series of gaffes and abuse allegations.

The backing of Silicon Valley Titan Peter Thiel hasn't been enough to sell Blake Masters' sharp-edged conservatism to Arizona voters.

And in an eyebrow-raising new survey, the respected Marquette University Law School poll finds incumbent Senator

Ron Johnson trailing his Democratic opponent Mandela Barnes by seven points.

Yeah, it's still early, and yes, Democrats have been on a bit of a winning streak lately.

And yes, plenty is going to change before November 8th.

But with only one competitive state, New Hampshire, yet to select its Senate nominee,

the picture is clear. Democrats across the country are finding ways to run ahead, sometimes

well ahead, of Joe Biden's approval ratings.

Candidates like Barnes, John Federman, Rafael Warnock, Mark Kelly, and others are being buoyed

by an improving political environment for Democrats since May.

Democrats have held a consistent generic ballot advantage in the Politico Morning Council poll

with our latest survey pegging a four-point lead.

It's worth noting that by historical standards, that might not be enough of an advantage

...