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The Rant with Jeff Ratcliffe

Arizona Cardinals Team Preview

The Rant with Jeff Ratcliffe

Jeff Ratcliffe

Sports, Fantasy Sports, Football

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 25 May 2021

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jeff Ratcliffe previews the Arizona Cardinals for the 2021 fantasy football season. Jeff kicks things off with Kyler Murray’s outlook and breaks down his projections for Murray. He then looks at DeAndre Hopkins and discusses how the targets will break down for the Arizona wideouts. Jeff wraps things up with his thoughts on how the […]

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

What is up, it's the rant. My name is Chef Rackle, but it is Tuesday, May 25th. Yeah, baby.

0:25.9

Speaking of the all 32 is what we're calling it here. That's 32 previews. I think there are 32 less. Let me count. Yes, 32 teams in the NFL, my math is correct. So we're going to preview every single one of these teams now that we've got the draft stuff way in the rear view mirror. We've processed it all and I have projections in hand. We're going to break that all down for you. So we will start today with the Arizona Cardinals, which is

0:55.9

a pretty darn interesting team. I mean, hey, look at what Kyler Murray was able to do last year. He was phenomenal for well, the first half of the season for him, technically speaking, it was the first nine weeks of the season, but his first eight games. He was the number one fantasy quarterback, but then, of course, he got banged up from there started running a little bit less the rushing touchdown production fell off the passing production fell off a little bit. And he still was pretty freaking good when it was all said and done, but the

1:25.9

downfall to looking at overall fantasy football numbers is well, just what we saw with with Kyler. The overall numbers paying a pretty favorable picture say that he was basically an elite option, but he wasn't entirely an elite option when it mattered. I mean, week 14, if you needed Kyler to advance 244 and one touchdown, 13 for 47. I mean, he was great in week 15. That was against the Eagles, of course, where he threw for 406 and three scores ran for a score.

1:55.9

As well, but you may not have been playing. And then when you needed a most in a fantasy championship round last year, 247, no passing scores for Kyler Murray. So in the fantasy playoffs, he threw for four passing scores. I mean, you definitely want more than that. He started so electric definitely tailed off, but the good news. He should be good to go heading into this year. And my projections absolutely love him. You know, I know a lot of people are going to ask this type of question. Like it's always funny.

2:25.8

When I throw out the numbers during the NFL draft, people like, he's literally just making these numbers up. No, I'm not. I wish I could make numbers like this up, just off the top, my head. But what I do with projections is pretty simple. I establish a run pass rate and an expected amount of plays per game for each team. Those, of course, we'll get adjusted based on opponent, right? Some opponents, you know, if you expect a team to play from behind, then they are probably going to throw a little bit.

2:55.8

More so that pass rate goes up a little bit. If you expect and play from the lead, the run rate goes higher. The there are certain defenses that, you know, are going to maybe for a faster pace of play or slower pace of play. And then there are

3:09.0

offenses who have a faster pace of play like this one. So that all goes into the hopper. Then you toss in the individual rates. And then you can establish what to expect out of these guys. I've

3:19.2

Kyler up over 4,000 passing hours, actually, almost a 4,100 passing hours, 24 passing scores, which is the one area I think in my projections, where I think it's totally reasonable. But remember, projections are a set of averages, right?

3:32.7

The ceiling floor combination for Kyler is pretty, it's pretty wide gap. It's not a real narrow gap. So yes, his ceiling is up over 30 passing scores, no doubt about it.

3:43.6

But I look at, you know, I look at the number and that's one area where you can definitely exceed expectation. I don't think he'll exceed expectation by much with the rushing yards, pretty bullish rushing yards wise, 736 and eight touchdowns on the ground on 130 rushing times. He projects out as the number three fantasy quarterback. That is exactly where he's being drafted.

4:05.0

The numbers match the ADP. And unfortunately, the ADP means that I am not going to have this guy on any of my home read draft, please, because he's going to go entirely too early for my liking.

4:19.2

That is one of the curses of, you know, when these guys are really good, they're going to go in the early rounds, the first five rounds very likely.

4:27.4

I'm not drafting a quarterback that early, because roster construction wise just simply doesn't make sense. But I do, by the way, playing best ball, if you're going to play enough best balls, it does make sense to have exposure to Kyler to mohomes to Josh Allen, even though I'd never draft those guys in a million years in a home league.

4:44.6

But in best ball, it does make sense to spread your exposure out. So Kyler, projecting out very favorably, he does, of course, still have Deandre Hopkins. And it's funny. I look back at last year's projections for Deandre Hopkins. And

4:56.2

I remember saying, man, six touchdowns feels low. Well, it was spot on. It was spot on. The touchdown efficiency isn't necessarily there. And I think that in part, it's a product of his very low A dot targets.

5:10.2

You know, he's a guy who is not going to be targeted 15 yards downfield on the regular. He's probably more of an 11 to 12 yards downfield. It's not super low. It's not like Michael Thomas low A dot or Jarvis Landry low A dot.

5:22.7

But it's still relatively low. I do have really bullishly at 112 catches, though, almost 1400 yards. Hopkins, projecting out as the number five fantasy receiver, he should see plenty of volume this year.

5:35.8

He just made, you know, he doesn't quite have the ceiling of some of the other guys up there. It certainly doesn't have the ceiling a tirey kill. Doesn't have the ceiling of Devonte Adams, if Aaron Rogers is on the team, or, you know, even Stefan digs, but still super high floor.

5:49.8

With Hopkins now, the question though is, who else gets the football? Because we know it's not going to be the tight as because there's no freaking cardinals. And they don't throw their freaking tight ends. Max Williams, right.

6:01.3

Ain't going to happen. So who else, you know, how do the targets get distributed from there?

6:08.8

And I do think when you look at it, I mean, as of now, I don't love AJ Green. If you've listened to me for a long enough, you know, that I've thought AJ Green has been toast for whatever two or three years.

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