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The Indicator from Planet Money

Are we in an economic 'doom loop'?

The Indicator from Planet Money

NPR

Business

4.79.5K Ratings

🗓️ 9 February 2026

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Trade wars. Financial panics. Inflation. How come it feels like it’s all bad news in the global economy these days? Economist Eswar Prasad’s answer: something he calls the ‘doom loop.’ That’s where massive geopolitical and economic forces feed off each other and send us careening into disorder. Sounds dire. But it’s not hopeless.

On today’s show, are we in a doom loop? And if we are … how do we get out of one?

Eswar Prasad’s new book is called “The Doom Loop: Why the World Economic Order Is Spiraling into Disorder”.

Related episodes: 
Is the financial media making us miserable about the economy?
Why are some nations richer?

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Transcript

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0:00.0

NPR.

0:02.1

When you look at the global economy today, it's easy to get the impression that things are bad.

0:17.6

After all, when you turn on the news and it seems like all you hear about is countries dealing

0:22.5

with financial panics, trade wars, soaring inflation, collapsing industries.

0:27.4

Yeah, is that our fault?

0:28.9

Well, remember we did our sentiment analysis?

0:31.7

We're slightly cheery than the average financial news source.

0:34.9

Okay, so, you know, maybe like half guilty as charged.

0:38.8

Yeah.

0:39.3

Ishwar Prasad is a little different, though. He's an optimist by nature, and he's also a professor

0:45.2

of economics and trade policy at Cornell University. When he sat down to write his most recent

0:50.2

book about the global economy, he wanted to focus on the positive. Sure, he thought,

0:54.7

the world seems like it's in turmoil right now, but when you zoom out, there's a more optimistic

0:59.3

story to tell. One could argue, and I was going to argue, that we're just in a transitional

1:03.6

period where there is a lot of volatility, but everything is going to settle down.

1:07.2

But the more research he did, the more convinced he was that the future for our global

1:12.4

economy actually is quite bleak and actually a lot bleaker than he originally thought.

1:17.8

You know, my heart was pulling me in one direction, which was the optimistic thesis,

1:22.6

and my head was pulling me in the completely different direction. So Ishwar wrote a very different book than he planned.

1:29.2

Out this month, it is called The Doom Loop,

1:32.3

why the world economic order is spiraling into disorder.

1:36.2

Okay, so maybe our like slightly chipper delivery might want to have some more somber tones.

...

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