Are refugees more likely to commit crime?
More or Less
BBC
4.6 • 3.7K Ratings
🗓️ 20 May 2026
⏱️ 29 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Tim Harford investigates some of the numbers in the news. On the programme:
Last week, Annunziata Rees-Mogg took to X to post a claim about the proportion of sex offences in Dorset that are committed by asylum seekers, writing that “asylum seekers make up 0.8% of Dorset’s population and 44% of alleged sex offenses. So unbelievable I had to check.” We checked too, and the number isn’t right.
In the last series of More or Less we suggested that nuclear power plant Hinkley C was spending so much on protecting the fish population that it would cost something like £250,000 per fish saved. We’ve had to take a look at that one too.
Last year, we looked at a report by the Bible Society based on polling from YouGov. The Quiet Revival suggested that churchgoing was on the rise in the UK, with young men leading the trend. YouGov now have an update on that survey.
How many caterpillars does a blue tit chick eat before it leaves the nest? In a recent nature documentary, Sir David Attenborough said the right number was 20,000. We’re not so sure.
If you’ve seen a number in the news you think we should take a look at, email the more or Less team: moreorless@bbc.co.uk
CONTRIBUTORS:
Madeleine Sumption, Director of the Migration Observatory at Oxford University Professor David Voas, Emeritus Professor of Social Science in the UCL Social Research Institute Annette Jäckle, Professor of Survey Methodology at the University of Essex and a Deputy Director of the UK Household Longitudinal Study Dr Malcolm Burgess, Principal Conservation Scientist at the RSPB
CREDITS Presenter: Tim Harford Reporter: Lizzy McNeill Producer: Nathan Gower and Josh McGinn Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: James Beard Editor: Richard Vadon
Transcript
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| 0:30.6 | Hello and welcome to more or less. |
| 0:33.3 | We're your guide to the numbers all around us in the news and in life, and I'm Tim Harford. |
| 0:38.6 | This week, we fight misinformation wherever we find it, even if it does require us to take on |
| 0:45.2 | the national treasure of all national treasures. And we examine further, rather extraordinary |
| 0:51.3 | developments on the story of the quiet revival in Christianity. |
| 0:56.2 | But first, the colonists and former politician Enunciata Rees-Mogg took to the social media |
| 1:02.7 | platform formerly known as Twitter to post a claim about the proportion of sex offences |
| 1:08.2 | in Dorset that are committed by asylum seekers. |
| 1:12.0 | Asylum seekers make up 0.8% of Dorset's population and 44% of alleged sex offences. |
| 1:19.7 | So unbelievable I had to check. |
| 1:22.2 | And so did we. |
| 1:23.6 | Lizzie McNeil has been on the case. |
... |
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