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Money For the Rest of Us

Are Emerging Markets Bonds a Once in a Generation Opportunity?

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Investing, Investing Podcast, Business, Economics, Economy

4.5 • 1.4K Ratings

🗓️ 10 April 2024

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Some analysts suggest that now is an incredibly attractive entry point to invest in emerging market bonds. We look at how to do this and whether you should.

Topics covered include:

  • How emerging markets bonds have performed relative to U.S. bonds
  • How frequently have emerging markets bonds defaulted
  • What is the difference between local currency and U.S. dollar-denominated emerging markets bonds
  • Why emerging markets nations are reforming
  • What are the ways to invest in emerging markets bonds and what factors should you consider


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Show Notes

Emerging Local Debt: A Once-In-A-Generation Opportunity? by Victoria Courmes—GMO

EM Sovereign Defaults at Record Level, but Rating Outlooks More Balanced—Fitch Ratings

The big opportunity in emerging market debt by Victoria Courmes—The Financial Times

Default Risk Fades in Emerging Markets as Riskiest Bonds Soar by Zijia Song, Giovanna Bellotti Azevedo, and Srinivasan Sivabalan—Bloomberg

The weakest links in the global economy are on the mend by Ruchir Sharma—The Financial Times

How to invest in closed-end funds - Money for the Rest of Us

Investments Mentioned

iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB)

iShares JP Morgan Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF (LEMB)

DoubleLine Low Duration Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund (DELNX)

DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income Fund (DLENX)

Virtus Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income ETF (EDF)

DoubleLine Income Solutions Fund (DSL)

Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund (MSD)

Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Fund (MSD)

Related Episodes

411: Is Emerging and Frontier Markets Investing Still Worth It? – With Asha Mehta

How to Invest in Closed-End Funds

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to Money for the rest of us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works, how to invest it, and how to live without worrying about it.

0:10.0

I'm your host David Stein. Today is episode 474. It's titled,

0:14.4

Are Emerging Markets Bonds a once in a generation opportunity? A month or so ago,

0:20.8

one of our members of Money for the Rest of Us Plus sent me a strategy piece by

0:26.2

the asset manager, GMO. It was written by Victoria Cormay. She was on the

0:32.2

portfolio management team for GMO's

0:34.6

emerging markets debt funds. In the piece she wrote based on our reading of

0:40.6

valuations for emerging markets debt, we anticipate looking back at this current

0:45.7

period as a generationally attractive entry point for emerging market local debt.

0:53.0

Now in this episode we're going to take a look at emerging market's debt,

0:58.0

but there's a distinction that she made.

1:01.0

There's emerging market's local debt, which is denominated in the local currency of

1:07.2

the issuing country, and there is US dollar denominated emerging markets of debt that the interest and

1:14.8

principal needs to be paid in U.S. dollars and as an investor investing in

1:20.4

emerging markets U.S. dollar-denominated debt, you don't have the currency risk.

1:26.1

You're not hurt by the weakening of the Emerging Markets country's currency, nor do you benefit when emerging markets

1:34.9

currencies appreciate relative to the US dollar.

1:38.6

Cormac continues, the US dollar overvaluation is at relatively extreme levels, likely to provide a strong

1:47.8

ongoing tailwind for non-dollar assets in general.

1:52.4

We believe a emerging market local debt can be a powerful way to

1:55.5

capitalize on this as a supplement to both emerging markets equities and other

2:00.5

asset classes. In another piece she wrote that was published in the Financial

...

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