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Real Estate Training & Coaching School

Are 2023-2024 Housing Crash Predictions ALL Lies?

Real Estate Training & Coaching School

Real Estate Training & Coaching School

News, Business, Business News, Careers

4.4705 Ratings

🗓️ 21 June 2023

⏱️ 47 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Welcome back to America's #1 Daily Podcast, featuring America's #1 Real Estate Coaches and Top EXP Realty Sponsors in the World, Tim and Julie Harris. Real estate agents, buyers, sellers, and renters all have the same question on their mind right now... Will the housing market crash? Will prices collapse and inventory avalanche? There are many conflicting 'experts' who claim a crash is looming. What follows are facts, not fiction.    After you hear all of these facts, the prevailing thoughts you will have are confidence, direction, and a sense of purpose. Your purpose is to be of service to others as a real estate professional. Your role is to be of service to those who need to buy or sell a home.  Knowledge equals confidence and ignorance equals fear. Our job is to educate you, motivate you and get you into action so let's get started! All Facts, No Fiction! 1. About 10% of all mortgages are adjustable rates. NOT like the great housing crash.  Fewer than 1% of sales this year have been distressed, according to the National Association of Realtors. IMPORTANT: Join #1 Real Estate Coaches Tim and Julie Harris's Premier Coaching now for FREE. Included is a DAILY Coaching Session with a HARRIS Certified Coach. Proven and tested lead generation, systems, and scripts designed for this market. Instant FREE Access Now: YES, Enroll Me NOW In Premier Coaching https://members.timandjulieharris.com/ 2. 40% of all homes are owned with no loan. Several states in the US have more than 50% mortgage-free homeowners. Note: In 2008, California led the housing crash but currently, 30% of homeowners in that state have NO mortgage at all. 3. The average mortgage interest rate for homes closed in 2022, even with the higher rates of late, is less than 4.52%, most of which are 30-year fixed loans. More than 28% of closings are all cash. (up from 25% last year) You can't default if there's no mortgage, and you are unlikely to default if your rate doesn't adjust to a payment you can't handle. 4. According to Black Knight, US Mortgage delinquencies have fallen to an all-time low of just 2.75%. Don't buy it when someone is selling you a list of REOs.   5. Home prices have inflated on average by 48% nationwide between 2020 and 2022. Just because they're only going up by 1 to 5% this year is NOT something to be disturbed by! A 3% price reduction on a home that hasn't sold is not the same as a price crash. 6. There will be approximately 4.5 million home sales in 2023. This means nearly 9 million commissions will be paid. How many do you need to meet or exceed your goals? 7. The Average days on the market have gone DOWN, not UP. Last year was 29, this year is now averaging only 22. This does not happen with a housing crash.   8. Demographics. There are 331,893,745 Americans. There are 72.1 million Millennials who are 26-41 years old. Baby Boomers 58-76, 71.6 million. One of those groups is growing in size as they grow their families. Immigrants are also a growing number of homebuyers.  Both of those massive groups will be buying and selling in greater numbers over the next 10 years. Add to this Generation X which is 42-57 and has a group size of 65.2 million. Demand is quite healthy and supply is still low. 9. Buyers will continue to want to buy instead of rent. Refer to our podcast about why it's still better to rent than buy. First-time buyers make up about 27% of today's market. Bottom line? Stop freaking out! This time is not even close to being like last time! Build your skills in this market and they'll serve you in ANY market. IMPORTANT: Join #1 Real Estate Coaches Tim and Julie Harris's Premier Coaching now for FREE. Included is a DAILY Coaching Session with a HARRIS Certified Coach. Proven and tested lead generation, systems, and scripts designed for this market. Instant FREE Access Now: YES, Enroll Me NOW In Premier Coaching https://members.timandjulieharris.com/

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Real Estate Coaching Radio starring award-winning real estate coaches and number one international bestselling authors, Tim and Julie Harris.

0:10.2

This is the number one daily radio show for realtors looking for a no BS authentic real-time coaching experience.

0:18.2

What's really working in today's market, how to generate more leads,

0:21.8

make more money, and have more time for what you love in your life. And now your host, Tim and

0:28.3

Julie Harris. Three, two, one, and we are back. And I have to say, we have talked about this topic.

0:36.4

We are pretty much reporting on this topic,

0:38.8

I think every three or four months, why there is no housing crash, why there will not be a

0:43.1

housing crash, and why people that are telling you there's going to be a housing crash

0:46.7

are either willfully lying to you or just blissfully ignorant. One of those two options.

0:53.2

That's right. At this point, there's nothing in between.

0:55.2

It seems to persist, doesn't it? It is still out there and you guys are still having to deal with it.

1:00.4

Some of you, I think it's a micropercent, I hope it is, are actually saying stuff like this yourself,

1:05.8

but most of you are just having to deal with this, like kind of an objection handler at this point almost.

1:11.4

So we're doing this on a quarterly basis because what we're doing, frankly, is reinforcing

1:15.6

what's going on the housing market, updating our facts. We're really doing our best to dispel the,

1:22.2

I don't even want to mix words, the lies that are being perpetuated out there, especially

1:26.1

inside the industry. Those are the most insidious.

1:29.0

The people that are supposed to essentially be the gurus and the experts and people you should

1:33.0

listen to are some of the ones that are the most ill-informed.

1:36.0

It's really quite fascinating from, I don't know, it is just fascinating.

1:40.3

Julie and I, we talk about this all the time.

1:42.0

Why is it that people want there to be a housing crash?

...

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