Another Sticky Stuff Suspension, Deviating From the Pack & Playing for Now
Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball
The Athletic
4.7 • 874 Ratings
🗓️ 18 May 2023
⏱️ 67 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Eno and DVR discuss the sticky stuff suspension for Domingo Germán, a new source of saves for the Yankees, a few surprisingly valuable pitchers, the actual benefit of LODEM, treating Jacob deGrom like an elite reliever, Emmanuel Clase's low strikeout rate, and more.
Rundown
0:56 Domingo Germán's Sticky Stuff Suspension
12:43 Wandy Peralta is Getting Saves
17:22 Surprising Pitchers: Earned Auction Values
22:54 The Actual Case for LODEM
27:51 Alek Thomas Demoted to Triple-A
33:24 Lance Lynn's Gradual Decline
38:05 The Importance of Updating & Adjusting Models
48:16 Matthew Liberatore is Back
52:13 Concerned About Emmanuel Clase's Strikeout Rate?
55:28 Should We Value Jacob deGrom Like an Elite Reliever?
59:06 Shallow League Decisions & Gunnar Henderson
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Rates and barrels. It's Wednesday, May 17th, Derek Van Riper, here with Enosaris. On this episode, we will discuss another |
| 0:23.4 | ejection due to foreign substances, Domingo Hermon, tossed from a game on Tuesday. We'll talk |
| 0:29.0 | about some of my reasoning for the anti-model, Lodom approach. I'll explain it. It's not just a |
| 0:34.3 | hairbrain thing that I said in passing. There's actually some reason to consider looking at things that way. We're also going to talk about a few surprising pictures who have really popped in terms of earned value so far. A bunch of mailbag questions to get to a variety of topics covered there, but a lot of good questions. So I want to make sure we load it up the rundown with those today. So mid-week mailbag instead of Monday mailbag this week. |
| 0:57.1 | I know, let's start with Domingo Hermon. |
| 0:58.9 | An automatic 10-game suspension is coming. |
| 1:01.9 | He had to check a few starts ago against the twins and wasn't ejected, |
| 1:06.5 | much to the chagrin of Twins manager Rocco Baldelli. |
| 1:10.0 | I was watching Twins Dodgers last night when they started talking about it again. |
| 1:15.1 | Like, hey, what was different? |
| 1:16.5 | And the only thing that was really different from a situational perspective is where the game was being played. |
| 1:22.5 | A few weeks ago, it was at Yankee Stadium, Tuesday night. |
| 1:26.1 | It was on the road in Toronto. But I want to ask you, |
| 1:29.2 | did anything abnormal come up in the game log recently, anything in terms of spin rates or |
| 1:34.9 | anything that would be suspicious? If you go back as far as that 11 strikeout performance against |
| 1:39.8 | Cleveland in April and everyone's going to have some suspicion that Hermann may have had something |
| 1:45.4 | extra going on this entire time, but are you seeing anything in the numbers that actually supports |
| 1:50.0 | that? Not really. You know, in particular the last start, he was up 50 RPM and that is just |
| 2:00.7 | nothing. |
| 2:02.1 | That is a total nothing burger in terms of game-to-game variation. |
| 2:09.0 | One standard deviation of game-to-game variation is 150 RPM. |
| 2:14.3 | And he wasn't even one standard deviation. |
... |
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