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Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

Another Sticky Stuff Suspension, Deviating From the Pack & Playing for Now

Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

The Athletic

Sports, Mlb, Fantasy Baseball, Baseball

4.7874 Ratings

🗓️ 18 May 2023

⏱️ 67 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Eno and DVR discuss the sticky stuff suspension for Domingo Germán, a new source of saves for the Yankees, a few surprisingly valuable pitchers, the actual benefit of LODEM, treating Jacob deGrom like an elite reliever, Emmanuel Clase's low strikeout rate, and more. 


Rundown

0:56 Domingo Germán's Sticky Stuff Suspension

12:43 Wandy Peralta is Getting Saves

17:22 Surprising Pitchers: Earned Auction Values

22:54 The Actual Case for LODEM

27:51 Alek Thomas Demoted to Triple-A

33:24 Lance Lynn's Gradual Decline

38:05 The Importance of Updating & Adjusting Models

48:16 Matthew Liberatore is Back

52:13 Concerned About Emmanuel Clase's Strikeout Rate?

55:28 Should We Value Jacob deGrom Like an Elite Reliever?

59:06 Shallow League Decisions & Gunnar Henderson


Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com


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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Rates and barrels. It's Wednesday, May 17th, Derek Van Riper, here with Enosaris. On this episode, we will discuss another

0:23.4

ejection due to foreign substances, Domingo Hermon, tossed from a game on Tuesday. We'll talk

0:29.0

about some of my reasoning for the anti-model, Lodom approach. I'll explain it. It's not just a

0:34.3

hairbrain thing that I said in passing. There's actually some reason to consider looking at things that way. We're also going to talk about a few surprising pictures who have really popped in terms of earned value so far. A bunch of mailbag questions to get to a variety of topics covered there, but a lot of good questions. So I want to make sure we load it up the rundown with those today. So mid-week mailbag instead of Monday mailbag this week.

0:57.1

I know, let's start with Domingo Hermon.

0:58.9

An automatic 10-game suspension is coming.

1:01.9

He had to check a few starts ago against the twins and wasn't ejected,

1:06.5

much to the chagrin of Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.

1:10.0

I was watching Twins Dodgers last night when they started talking about it again.

1:15.1

Like, hey, what was different?

1:16.5

And the only thing that was really different from a situational perspective is where the game was being played.

1:22.5

A few weeks ago, it was at Yankee Stadium, Tuesday night.

1:26.1

It was on the road in Toronto. But I want to ask you,

1:29.2

did anything abnormal come up in the game log recently, anything in terms of spin rates or

1:34.9

anything that would be suspicious? If you go back as far as that 11 strikeout performance against

1:39.8

Cleveland in April and everyone's going to have some suspicion that Hermann may have had something

1:45.4

extra going on this entire time, but are you seeing anything in the numbers that actually supports

1:50.0

that? Not really. You know, in particular the last start, he was up 50 RPM and that is just

2:00.7

nothing.

2:02.1

That is a total nothing burger in terms of game-to-game variation.

2:09.0

One standard deviation of game-to-game variation is 150 RPM.

2:14.3

And he wasn't even one standard deviation.

...

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