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Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Annie Duke – Wanna Bet? - [Invest Like the Best, EP.125]

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

Colossus

Business, Investing, Technology

4.72.5K Ratings

🗓️ 19 March 2019

⏱️ 71 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

My guest this week is with Annie Duke, and the topic of our discussion is how to improve decision making. We break decisions down into their component parts: values, beliefs, decisions, randomness, and outcomes. After diving into each, we discuss how to make better decisions, how to work in group settings, and how to harness power of tribes and identity to improve our behavior. Annie has thought about this as much as anyone, and her various tricks for getting us to think in probabilities and to stop evaluating decisions based on outcomes that have been tainted by randomness will be useful for anyone listening. Please enjoy. For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast. Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub. Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag   Show Notes 1:23 - (First Question) – Why people don’t take the best investing advice 2:11 – Investing tribes             4:21 – Jay Van Bavel twitter 6:34 – Rule setting as a way of crafting an investment strategy 11:13 – How much control do we have in choosing our values   15:52 – Anatomy of a decision 19:28 – Her concept of resulting 26:47 -  How beliefs impact your decision making 34:28 – Tact’s for making the best decision 42:40 – Ego and decision making 47:06 – People who are exceptional at changing their decision making 48:18 – How often do people who change their decision making, stick with the rules of the game             50:07 – Finite and Infinite Games 50:28 – Psychology of making decision that involves other people 59:20 -  Never close doors on other people 1:01:57 – Best decision that Annie made 1:04:24 – Kindest thing anyone has done for Annie   Learn More For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.  Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub Follow Patrick on twitter at @patrick_oshag

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome everyone, I'm Patrick O'Shaughnessy and this is Invest Like The Best.

0:08.6

This show is an open-ended exploration of markets, ideas, methods, stories, and of strategies

0:13.9

that will help you better invest both your time and your money.

0:17.2

You can learn more and stay up to date at InvestorFieldGuide.com.

0:24.6

Patrick O'Shaughnessy is the CEO of O'Shaughnessy Asset Management.

0:28.5

All opinions expressed by Patrick and podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do

0:32.9

not reflect the opinion of O'Shaughnessy Asset Management.

0:36.3

This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis

0:40.6

for investment decisions.

0:42.4

Clients of O'Shaughnessy Asset Management may maintain positions and the securities discussed

0:46.2

in this podcast.

0:49.7

I guess this week is any duke and the topic of our discussion is how to improve decision-making.

0:54.5

To break decisions down into their component parts, values, beliefs, decisions, randomness,

0:59.1

and outcomes.

1:00.6

After diving into each, we discuss how to make better decisions, how to work in group settings,

1:04.8

and how to harness the power of tribes and identity to improve our behavior.

1:08.8

Any has thought about this topic as much as anyone and her methods for getting us to think

1:12.1

in probabilities and to stop evaluating decisions based on outcomes tainted by randomness

1:17.0

will be useful for anyone listening.

1:18.6

Please enjoy.

1:20.6

Here's the main thing I think about.

1:23.9

There's so much information out there.

...

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