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Rebel Capitalist News

Andreas Steno Larsen LIVE (BIS 100 Trillion Hidden Debt Report Deep Dive)

Rebel Capitalist News

George Gammon

Business, Investing

4.71.1K Ratings

🗓️ 15 December 2022

⏱️ 23 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hopefully Rebel capitalists hope you're well. I'm here with my good buddy Andreas Steno Larson and it's probably about 3 o'clock in the morning where he is.

0:10.0

So I really appreciate his time coming on and going over this BIS report that everyone has been talking about and I don't want to put words in his mouth but I think

0:21.0

Andreas would say that this is more BS than BIS.

0:25.6

So let's go through this, buddy.

0:30.1

Can you kind of give me a short Reader's Digest version of what this report is all about and maybe why you think it's a nothing burger and then maybe we'll go over it slightly so the audience can understand your view with some charts that I've got.

0:43.4

Yeah, I mean we obviously noticed that report from Bank of International Settlements as well,

0:50.8

my research company this week.

0:53.0

It made the rounds on social media, it made the rounds in mainstream media even as a consequence of this

1:00.5

very firm headline that we have almost a hundred trillion in hidden dollar bet, right?

1:09.0

What I think about this is basically that I don't consider it hidden in the sense that we actually know what it is

1:18.0

But it is hidden given that it's still a bit off-balance sheets? So in that sense I agree, but we know what's underlying this

1:27.5

headline. It is essentially based on my local pension fund here in Europe or my local export company here in Europe

1:38.1

wanting to have a hedge against dollar receivables. So what do I mean by that? Well a pension fund in

1:46.0

Germany for example they they hold a lot of US equities, they hold a lot of US

1:51.2

bonds and to protect themselves against a move in the US dollar versus the euro

1:57.7

They essentially want an offsetting position in the dollar market against this dollar asset holding.

2:06.0

So what they want is basically to borrow US dollars in FX swaps against holding equities in US dollars.

2:14.8

So they have a position to offset their long position.

2:17.3

Exactly.

2:18.7

And the way they do that is via very short term FX swaps. so usually they run a month or three months and then they

2:26.4

roll this FX swap on a running basis because they want the flexibility to be able to

2:30.4

close down this offsetting position if they need to sell the dollar equity or if the dollar

...

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