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The NPR Politics Podcast

Analysis: Biden Leads, But He's Still Short Of 270 Electoral Votes

The NPR Politics Podcast

NPR

Politics, Daily News, News

4.524.9K Ratings

🗓️ 16 September 2020

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Joe Biden maintains a lead in key states Trump won in 2016, but the race remains tight in Florida. Arizona and Georgia are toss-ups, and Texas is pink. And, the race is remarkably stable. Our reporting from across the country finds that a vanishingly small share of voters are persuadable. That makes the election primarily a turnout contest.

This episode: campaign correspondent Asma Khalid, congressional editor Deirdre Walsh, and senior political editor and correspondent Domenico Montanaro.

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hi, this is Kristen. I'm a school librarian and I am currently recording my virtual lessons,

0:06.6

which means I've got my calming voice going. This podcast was recorded at...

0:13.3

2.13 pm Eastern Time on Wednesday, September 16th.

0:18.0

Things may have changed by the time you hear it, but one thing will still be true.

0:22.8

Our students, their families, and our staff will still be doing an amazing job.

0:29.8

All right, here's the show.

0:34.8

I just want to say, you have a great librarian calming voice. That is a fantastically soothing voice.

0:40.7

That's much more soothing than the teacher voices I hear in my virtual learning school upstairs.

0:45.5

Yeah, right. The virtual learning is not good. It doesn't sound like that.

0:50.6

Sounds like, Dad, I need your help!

0:53.9

Well, hey there, it's the NPR Politics podcast. I must mahala, like, cover the presidential campaign.

0:58.8

I'm Deer Drew Walsh, Congressional Editor.

1:00.6

And I'm Domenico Montenora, Senior Political Editor and Correspondent.

1:03.8

And Domenico, you've got your latest electoral map now out. I know last time we talked about it,

1:09.6

it looked like some red states were sliding to pink and some of the toss-ups were turning more blue.

1:16.3

So where does the race stand now? I mean, what has changed since that last map you put out?

1:21.0

Well, the biggest change last time and the biggest change this time is that Florida is again the focus,

1:27.0

and Florida has now moved from lean Democrat to back to the toss-up column where it traditionally has been

1:34.8

in so many of these election cycles in the last several years.

1:38.4

And that's where it goes back to now because we've seen President Trump gain in the polls by

1:43.3

about four points in the last month and a half in Florida. Biden is still has a narrow edge there

1:49.0

by a couple of points in the polls. But beyond the polls, when you talk to Democratic strategists

...

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