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Wall Street Breakfast

An extremely important week of data; understanding technical analysis

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 5 November 2023

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Matthew Tuttle and Rob Isbitts discuss this week's extremely important data (0:10). T-Bills yielding over 5%, quickly changing sentiment and market technicals (3:00). Monster-size US debt (7:20).

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.

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Show links:
Tuttle Capital Management
Rob Isbitts, Sungarden Investment Publishing
Wall Street Breakfast: The Week Ahead
Wall Street Breakfast: What Moved Markets
Rate Watching And Why The Bond Market Matters


Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is an extremely important week of data.

0:04.0

So, you know, we're This is an extremely important week of data.

0:14.4

So, you know, we're talking about this on Thursday.

0:18.2

Yesterday, we have the quarterly refunding

0:21.2

and we had the FOMC. Quarterly refunding and we had the FOMC.

0:23.6

Quarterly refunding, bullish.

0:26.1

FOMC, Powell stuck to the script, would argue bullish.

0:30.7

Tonight we've got Apple, tomorrow we've got non-farm payrolls. If the bulls check the box on those,

0:38.0

then, you know, I think Santa Claus is coming to town.

0:42.7

The Bulls don't check the box on those.

0:45.3

Then, you know, I think this is another short-lived bounce

0:50.5

that reloads opportunities for me and you to short.

0:55.0

Go back to what you said for a second with Powell.

0:57.0

It was bullish, but in what realm?

1:02.0

They're not likely to lower rates anytime soon. The higher for

1:09.0

longer or stable for longer is likely to be there. Now we've seen the bond market go haywire in both directions.

1:17.3

Zipped up the 10-year Treasury to a neat 5%,

1:21.9

allowing a couple of well-known billionaires to exit their positions.

1:26.6

I reduced mine probably by 70% but still still hold some. But then it just seems to me like we're sort of in that crazy

1:38.9

season which comes along more frequently than it used to, where the moves are so quick and the reversals are so quick,

1:50.0

you have to decide, are you a trader or your investor?

1:52.5

It's hard to be somewhere in between.

...

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