An economic mirage of sorts?
Marketplace Morning Report
Marketplace
4.5 • 927 Ratings
🗓️ 30 July 2025
⏱️ 9 minutes
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Summary
This morning's GDP figure showed that the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 3% in Q2 — a higher-than-expected rebound. But there's more than meets the eye. "The headline number is showing the volatility in trade and imports and exports, but the numbers underneath are showing very much a slow slowing of the U.S. economy," says economist Kathryn Anne Edwards. We'll discuss. And later: South African entrepreneurs are bringing power generation within reach to lower-income families and small businesses.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Do you really know when the heat is getting to you? |
| 0:04.4 | I'm David Brancaccio in Los Angeles. The official measure of growth is in now, showing the U.S. economy grew by more than expected at a 3% annual rate in the spring and December quarter after going negative, contracting over the winter. |
| 0:19.0 | To understand this better, I want to turn to Catherine |
| 0:21.4 | Ann Edwards in Houston. She's a labor economist and Bloomberg opinion columnist. Thank you for |
| 0:26.5 | joining us. Of course. I look at this headline number for economic growth. Wowie Kazawi, |
| 0:32.1 | happy days are here again. It is morning in America. Is that how you read it? Not quite, |
| 0:37.4 | although the headline number is |
| 0:39.0 | very reassuring if maybe a little bit of a mirage of what's going on. A mirage? What way? |
| 0:45.2 | The GDP report measures the size of the U.S. economy, which has four components, |
| 0:51.2 | consumer spending, business spending, government spending, and trade. |
| 0:55.5 | What's been going on over the past six months in both the negative number we got last quarter |
| 1:00.1 | and this big positive number we got this quarter are swings in that final component. Trade. |
| 1:05.9 | That makes sense. We've had an incredibly volatile trade policy since the start of the year. |
| 1:10.4 | The numbers that we tend to care more about are ones that are either more meaningful of how the |
| 1:16.1 | economy is actually performing for Americans and businesses on the ground. |
| 1:21.0 | And those numbers do not look as good. |
| 1:22.9 | In fact, they look much weaker than they did last year. |
| 1:25.7 | Consumer spending, which is how much households are spending, |
| 1:28.9 | that's down at 1.4%. |
| 1:30.8 | And it averaged double that last year. |
| 1:33.8 | So the headline number is showing the volatility in trade |
| 1:38.0 | and imports and exports, |
... |
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