An analytical cage match | Cash the Ticket
Cash The Ticket
Audacy
4.9 • 2.4K Ratings
🗓️ 18 October 2022
⏱️ 6 minutes
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Summary
Where is the sweet spot with football analytics? Valenti and Costa debate when it's the right call to go for it on fourth down and how it relates to betting games.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | before we do the lookaheads, analytics, where's the sweet spot? Because every weekend in |
| 0:07.0 | the NFL, especially we're seeing coaches get more and more aggressive. Cliff Kingsbury, |
| 0:12.9 | McDermott, Mike McCarthy went for it. Fourth and short on his own 34 on Sunday night football. |
| 0:19.0 | And he has Cooper rush it quarterback. So there is a sweet spot. I got no issue with what |
| 0:23.7 | the Cardinals did. You might. I have no issue with what the bills did. You might. If you've |
| 0:28.8 | got short yardage in enemy territory with a quarterback who can make plays, you go for it |
| 0:35.9 | with a top offense. You go for it. Here's the easiest way I can say it. And I talked about |
| 0:40.0 | this a little bit on my kickoff show with boomerah size and shameless promotion, but it's |
| 0:43.4 | relevant. As long as there's space left for football, meaning trust the numbers, trust |
| 0:50.0 | that nerd from Yale up in your booth. But analytics don't factor in. Who am I playing? |
| 0:57.2 | They don't factor in. What's the health of my team? What's the health of the other team? |
| 1:01.8 | What's the game flow? Right. Great example is the cowboys. The situation might call for |
| 1:06.0 | you to go for it. Right. But Cooper rushes your quarterback. Factor it in. Right. Now flip |
| 1:12.4 | side. Josh, challenge your quarterback. Right. But I'll give you an example. It was clear. |
| 1:17.1 | Let me give you two examples. One from Saturday, one from Sunday. So Saturday, your |
| 1:19.9 | Brent Venables, you're up 14. You've made some mistakes. Right. You had to pick it. |
| 1:25.8 | A fumble. Now you're down at the goal line. You're not a power. See, this is where the |
| 1:29.6 | analytics don't make sense. You're not a power team. So they come out in like the winged |
| 1:33.7 | T and they get stoned. Now it's fourth and goal. Here's how I'm looking at it. I'm playing |
| 1:40.1 | the Kansas team that I have moved up and down the field. I'm on pace to put up 900 yards |
| 1:45.0 | of offense. And their backup quarterback is struggling. If I take the three, I'm up |
| 1:50.0 | by 17. They're never going to outscore me by 17. I essentially, I'm not pleased about |
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