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Economist Podcasts

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Economist Podcasts

The Economist

News, News & Politics

4.35K Ratings

🗓️ 7 September 2022

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:52.8

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0:58.9

Hello and welcome to the intelligence from the economist. In New York, I'm John Fastman.

1:04.8

And in London, I'm Jason Palmer. Every weekday, we provide a fresh perspective on the events

1:10.0

shaping your world.

1:13.4

The nuclear arsenals of China, India, and Pakistan are growing. Combined, they've got more

1:19.4

nukes than Britain and France have stockpiled in Europe. But there's still no arms

1:23.7

race happening in Asia yet.

1:35.3

And the Rosetta Stone that allowed the translation of hieroglyphics first ended up in French hands, then in British. Now Egypt wants it back, even though it's technically Greek.

1:39.3

The restitution of artifacts is often messy because that's how history is. But first.

1:56.0

Political junkies have been chewing over the upcoming midterm elections for months.

2:03.6

But for many Americans, Labor Day, which was celebrated this past Monday, marks the beginning of campaign season.

2:10.6

A lot of those junkies had been predicting a red wave in this year's midterms.

...

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